Sport Picks
Montevideo City vs Danubio
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Centenario, Montevideo 
Match Events
65'
65'
Sub
Lecchini R. In: Da Silva N.
Out: Lecchini R.
65'
65'
Sub
John Kleber In: Femia E.
Out: John Kleber
68'
68'
Sub
Brasil M. In: Jourdan M.
Out: Brasil M.
AI Match Summary
Montevideo City in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montevideo City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
35%
15%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montevideo City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Danubio haven't matched Montevideo City's recent run of results.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Montevideo City taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 68%
Danubio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montevideo City | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 14 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Montevideo City vs Danubio
2:0
Jul 24, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Danubio
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Montevideo City
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Montevideo City
2:0
Jun 7, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Montevideo City
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montevideo City 95 / 100
Danubio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montevideo City Danubio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montevideo City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montevideo City's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Danubio has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Montevideo City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Montevideo City VS Danubio
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Montevideo City
(Home) 27 Sept
Montevideo City
0 : 2 Maldonado
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3 Atenas
21 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 4 Montevideo City
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0 Cienciano
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1 Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Montevideo City
0 : 2 Maldonado
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3 Atenas
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0 Cienciano
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1 Liverpool M.
04 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
Page 1 of 3
Danubio
(Away) 27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Danubio
24 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1 Penarol
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1 Wanderers
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1 Danubio
05 Sept
Danubio
0 : 4 Penarol
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Danubio
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1 Danubio
01 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 0 Danubio
29 Aug
Progreso
1 : 0 Danubio
14 Aug
Boston River
0 : 0 Danubio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool M. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp. | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
