Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montevideo City vs Wanderers

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Siles P.
22' Event
Obregon E.
35'
Caceres S.

AI Match Summary

Montevideo City in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montevideo City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Montevideo City
30%
Draws
12%
Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montevideo City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Montevideo City have won more games recently than Wanderers.
  • Montevideo City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 68%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montevideo City Wanderers
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.82 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Wanderers
5:1
Jul 31, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Wanderers
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Montevideo City
0:4
Oct 12, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Wanderers
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Montevideo City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montevideo City Compare

Top Goalscorer Obregon E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andrade L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Queiroz N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montevideo City 95 / 100
Wanderers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montevideo City Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montevideo City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montevideo City's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Wanderers let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Montevideo City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montevideo City VS Wanderers
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montevideo City

(Home)
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
21 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 4
Montevideo City
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0
Cienciano
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1
Liverpool M.
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0
Montevideo City
Page 1 of 7

Wanderers

(Away)
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3
Cerrito
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1
Wanderers
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1
Club Nacional
09 Sept
Maldonado
4 : 1
Wanderers
05 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0
Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 7 6 0 1 18:7 18
2 Penarol 7 5 1 1 13:5 15
3 Liverpool M. 7 4 2 1 12:4 14
4 Maldonado 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
5 Club Nacional 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 CA Cerro 7 4 1 2 9:9 13
7 Juventud 7 3 3 1 10:6 12
8 Racing Montevideo 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
9 Progreso 8 4 0 4 7:9 12
10 Wanderers 7 2 3 2 8:10 9
11 Boston River 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
12 Cerro Largo 8 0 5 3 5:10 5
13 Defensor Sp. 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
14 Central Esp. 7 1 2 4 4:11 5
15 Danubio 7 0 4 3 2:8 4
16 Albion 7 0 0 7 5:14 0
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)