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AI Match Summary
The FA Cup 2011/2012 game between Montgomery and Connahs Quay Town finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montgomery.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Connahs Quay Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Montgomery demonstrates higher offensive output (2.67 avg goals) than Connahs Quay Town (2.14 avg goals).
- Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Connahs Quay Town.
- Cup tournament structure in FA Cup 2011/2012 increases high-stakes performance focus.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 38%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Montgomery Clean Sheet 10%
Connahs Quay Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montgomery | Connahs Quay Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 6 | 6 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.67 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.83 | 2.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.67 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 4.83 | 2.57 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2011 FA Cup
Montgomery vs Connahs Quay Town
4:0
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montgomery 26 / 100
Connahs Quay Town 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montgomery Connahs Quay Town
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montgomery scored in 100% of their last 6 games.
Connahs Quay Town let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Montgomery went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Connahs Quay Town lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Montgomery VS Connahs Quay Town
2.67 Goals Scored 2.14
4.83 Goals Conceded 2.57
100% Over 1.5 86%
100% Over 2.5 86%
100% Over 3.5 71%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cefn Druids6
Caernarfon1
Carno FC0
Coedpoeth2
Llanidloes Town-
TBD-
Gwalchmai2
Connahs Q.7
Goytre Utd1
Ton Pentre0
Abertillery Bluebirds0
Caerau Ely2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Prestatyn-
Llandudno FC3
Venture Community1
Rhos Aelwyd0
Guilsfield1
Barmouth & Dyffryn United4
Ruthin Town1
Conwy Borough1
Caersws FC2
FC Cefn2
Penycae FC1
Connahs Quay Town0
Montgomery4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tata Steel3
Newcastle Emlyn1
Splott0
Bridgend Town2
Cambrian United5
Monmouth1
Llanrug3
Llandrindod4
Pontardawe3
Treowen0
Aberbargoed Buds0
AFC Porth2
Afan Lido-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Port Talbot-
Wrexham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Bala-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Caerleon1
Aberaman0
Rhosgoch2
Merthyr Saints6
Taffs Well5
Undy4
Dinas Powys0
Builth2
Holyhead6
Llanrhaeadr1
Penrhyncoch0
Buckley4
Rhyl5
Gresford0
Bethesda Athletic1
Porthmadog3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newtown-
Bangor City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llanelli-
Neath Athletic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cardiff Corries2
Cwmaman Institute0
Cwmbran Celtic0
West End2
Newport Civil Service4
Caldicot2
Risca United0
Newbridge4
Denbigh3
Llangefni2
Chirk AAA FC1
Flint Town5
Newport-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Haverfordwest2
Cardiff Metropolitan University0
Merthyr Town0
Barry Town3
Bryntirion Athletic3
Cwmbran Town1
Aberaeron1
Goytre AFC3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
1/32-finals
Cefn Druids8
Coedpoeth0
Llanidloes Town0
Connahs Q.2
Goytre Utd8
Caerau Ely1
TBD-
Prestatyn-
Llandudno FC3
Guilsfield1
Barmouth & Dyffryn United0
Caersws FC3
FC Cefn7
Montgomery3
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
Tata Steel3
Bridgend Town5
Cambrian United2
Llandrindod0
Pontardawe0
AFC Porth3
Afan Lido-
TBD-
TBD-
Port Talbot-
Wrexham-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Bala-
TBD-
Caerleon3
Merthyr Saints4
Taffs Well5
Builth0
Holyhead2
Buckley5
Rhyl3
Porthmadog2
TBD-
Newtown-
Bangor City-
TBD-
TBD-
Llanelli-
Neath Athletic-
TBD-
Cardiff Corries1
West End2
Newport Civil Service2
Newbridge0
Denbigh1
Flint Town2
Newport-
TBD-
Haverfordwest1
Barry Town2
Bryntirion Athletic5
Goytre AFC2
TBD-
TNS-
1/16-finals
Cefn Druids2
Connahs Q.1
Goytre Utd2
Prestatyn6
Llandudno FC1
Caersws FC0
FC Cefn1
Aberystwyth6
Carmarthen Town2
Bridgend Town1
Cambrian United0
AFC Porth1
Afan Lido1
Port Talbot0
Wrexham1
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Bala6
Merthyr Saints0
Taffs Well3
Buckley4
Rhyl2
Newtown1
Bangor City2
Llanelli4
Neath Athletic4
West End0
Newport Civil Service0
Flint Town3
Newport3
Barry Town2
Bryntirion Athletic0
TNS6
1/8-finals
Cefn Druids2
Prestatyn0
Llandudno FC1
Aberystwyth2
Carmarthen Town3
AFC Porth1
Afan Lido2
Airbus UK Broughton FC3
Bala4
Buckley2
Rhyl3
Llanelli4
Neath Athletic3
Flint Town1
Newport0
TNS4
Quarter-finals
Cefn Druids1
Aberystwyth0
Carmarthen Town1
Airbus UK Broughton FC3
Bala2
Llanelli1
Neath Athletic0
TNS1
Semi-finals
Cefn Druids4
Airbus UK Broughton FC1
Bala0
TNS4
Final
Cefn Druids0
TNS2