Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 game between Monticelli and Agnonese finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monticelli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Monticelli carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Monticelli's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Monticelli Clean Sheet 20%
Agnonese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monticelli | Agnonese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Monticelli
6:0
Dec 3, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs Agnonese
0:0
Mar 19, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs Agnonese
1:1
Nov 6, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Monticelli
1:2
Mar 20, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Monticelli
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monticelli 42 / 100
Agnonese 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monticelli Agnonese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Agnonese conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Monticelli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Agnonese's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Agnonese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Monticelli
(Home) 06 May
ASD Francavilla
2 : 1 Monticelli
29 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 0 Castelfidardo
22 Apr
Agnonese
6 : 0 Monticelli
15 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 1 Nerostellati Pratola
08 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 2 Monticelli
Page 1 of 6
29 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 0 Castelfidardo
15 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 1 Nerostellati Pratola
29 Mar
Monticelli
0 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
04 Mar
Monticelli
1 : 0 Vis Pesaro
18 Feb
Monticelli
3 : 1 Vastese
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Agnonese
(Away) 19 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 2 Montegiorgio
16 Jun
Castelfidardo
4 : 0 Agnonese
13 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 4 Aprilia
06 Jun
Agnonese
0 : 2 Roma City
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
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16 Jun
Castelfidardo
4 : 0 Agnonese
26 May
Giulianova
0 : 2 Agnonese
23 May
Cynthialbalonga
3 : 0 Agnonese
12 May
Recanatese
5 : 2 Agnonese
09 May
Pineto
3 : 1 Agnonese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vis Pesaro | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 61:29 | 73 |
| 2 | Matelica | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 66:28 | 71 |
| 3 | Avezzano | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 51:26 | 62 |
| 4 | Pineto | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 53:41 | 57 |
| 5 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 57:40 | 55 |
| 6 | ASD Francavilla | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 47:38 | 53 |
| 7 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 45:35 | 51 |
| 8 | Vastese | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 55:50 | 51 |
| 9 | Sangiustese | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 39:41 | 48 |
| 10 | Campobasso | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41:40 | 45 |
| 11 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43:54 | 44 |
| 12 | Recanatese | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47:47 | 43 |
| 13 | Agnonese | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:35 | 41 |
| 14 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:51 | 40 |
| 15 | Jesina | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32:46 | 34 |
| 16 | Monticelli | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 25:45 | 30 |
| 17 | Fabriano Cerreto | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 29:69 | 20 |
| 18 | Nerostellati Pratola | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 19:71 | 18 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
