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Monticelli vs Folgore Veregra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monticelli in this Serie D - Group F 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monticelli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Monticelli
30%
Draws
16%
Folgore Veregra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monticelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Folgore Veregra at 1.03 per game, Monticelli at 0.74.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Monticelli taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Monticelli Clean Sheet 20%
Folgore Veregra Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monticelli Folgore Veregra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 13 10
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.74 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs Folgore Veregra
2:1
Sep 13, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Folgore Veregra vs Monticelli
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monticelli 42 / 100
Folgore Veregra 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monticelli Folgore Veregra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore Veregra let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Monticelli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Folgore Veregra registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monticelli VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monticelli

(Home)
06 May
ASD Francavilla
2 : 1
Monticelli
29 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 0
Castelfidardo
22 Apr
Agnonese
6 : 0
Monticelli
15 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 1
Nerostellati Pratola
08 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 2
Monticelli
Page 1 of 7

Folgore Veregra

(Away)
08 May
Castelfidardo
2 : 1
Folgore Veregra
01 May
Folgore Veregra
1 : 1
Campobasso
24 Apr
Fermana
3 : 1
Folgore Veregra
17 Apr
Folgore Veregra
0 : 0
Calcio Chieti
10 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 0
Folgore Veregra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sambenedettese 34 25 6 3 76:36 81
2 Fano 34 21 5 8 49:29 68
3 Campobasso 34 17 10 7 47:27 61
4 Matelica 34 18 4 12 57:37 58
5 Fermana 34 15 10 9 50:39 55
6 Calcio Chieti 34 12 13 9 49:38 49
7 Recanatese 34 13 9 12 45:50 48
8 Jesina 34 14 5 15 39:46 47
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 12 10 12 49:42 46
10 Avezzano 34 12 8 14 51:52 44
11 Vis Pesaro 34 11 10 13 39:41 43
12 Castelfidardo 34 10 12 12 33:40 42
13 Agnonese 34 10 10 14 46:48 40
14 Monticelli 34 9 10 15 42:48 37
15 Isernia 34 9 10 15 27:49 37
16 Folgore Veregra 34 7 11 16 34:52 32
17 Giulianova 34 7 6 21 27:63 27
18 Amiternina 34 5 9 20 34:57 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2015/2016 (Play Out)