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Montichiari vs Ciserano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between Montichiari and Ciserano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciserano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Montichiari
15%
Draws
64%
Ciserano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ciserano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ciserano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Montichiari a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Montichiari Clean Sheet 20%
Ciserano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montichiari Ciserano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 27 18
Goals Scored 0.73 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Montichiari vs Ciserano
0:1
Dec 14, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Montichiari
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montichiari 42 / 100
Ciserano 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montichiari Ciserano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciserano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Ciserano registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Montichiari scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ciserano
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montichiari

(Home)
10 May
Montichiari
2 : 2
Folgore Caratese
03 May
MapelloBonate
4 : 1
Montichiari
26 Apr
Montichiari
0 : 1
Ciserano
19 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Montichiari
12 Apr
Montichiari
1 : 2
Villafranca
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Ciserano

(Away)
05 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 2
Ciserano
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1
Seregno Calcio
18 Apr
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0
Ciserano
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
07 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 0
Ciserano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Castiglione 36 22 8 6 54:26 74
2 Lecco 36 19 9 8 65:42 66
3 Seregno Calcio 36 20 5 11 64:37 65
4 Ciserano 36 17 9 10 53:39 60
5 Virtus Verona 36 15 14 7 58:34 59
6 Pergolettese 36 15 10 11 46:44 55
7 Olginatese 36 15 9 12 44:34 54
8 Ponte San Pietro 36 14 10 12 50:42 52
9 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 14 9 13 37:40 51
10 Sondrio 36 15 6 15 46:50 51
11 Aurora Seriate 36 14 8 14 42:43 50
12 Inveruno 36 13 10 13 47:48 49
13 Villafranca 36 12 11 13 44:49 47
14 MapelloBonate 36 12 11 13 36:48 47
15 Pro Sesto 36 13 8 15 38:41 47
16 Caravaggio 36 11 8 17 37:42 41
17 Folgore Caratese 36 7 16 13 34:40 37
18 Castellana 36 7 9 20 36:61 30
19 Montichiari 36 1 2 33 26:97 5
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)