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Montichiari vs Lecco

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between Montichiari and Lecco finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lecco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Montichiari
20%
Draws
70%
Lecco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lecco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lecco come out ahead of Montichiari on wins alone.
  • Lecco are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Montichiari Clean Sheet 19%
Lecco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montichiari Lecco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 9
Draws 2 10
Losses 27 11
Goals Scored 0.73 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Montichiari vs Lecco
1:3
Sep 28, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Lecco vs Montichiari
3:2
Mar 7, 2012 Lega Pro C2/A
Montichiari vs Lecco
2:1
Oct 26, 2011 Lega Pro C2/A
Lecco vs Montichiari
1:2
Feb 6, 2011 Lega Pro C2/A
Montichiari vs Lecco
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montichiari 12 / 100
Lecco 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montichiari Lecco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Lecco let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Montichiari's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Montichiari has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lecco
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montichiari

(Home)
10 May
Montichiari
2 : 2
Folgore Caratese
03 May
MapelloBonate
4 : 1
Montichiari
26 Apr
Montichiari
0 : 1
Ciserano
19 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Montichiari
12 Apr
Montichiari
1 : 2
Villafranca
Page 1 of 6

Lecco

(Away)
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0
Lecco
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3
Lecco
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0
Lecco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Castiglione 36 22 8 6 54:26 74
2 Lecco 36 19 9 8 65:42 66
3 Seregno Calcio 36 20 5 11 64:37 65
4 Ciserano 36 17 9 10 53:39 60
5 Virtus Verona 36 15 14 7 58:34 59
6 Pergolettese 36 15 10 11 46:44 55
7 Olginatese 36 15 9 12 44:34 54
8 Ponte San Pietro 36 14 10 12 50:42 52
9 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 14 9 13 37:40 51
10 Sondrio 36 15 6 15 46:50 51
11 Aurora Seriate 36 14 8 14 42:43 50
12 Inveruno 36 13 10 13 47:48 49
13 Villafranca 36 12 11 13 44:49 47
14 MapelloBonate 36 12 11 13 36:48 47
15 Pro Sesto 36 13 8 15 38:41 47
16 Caravaggio 36 11 8 17 37:42 41
17 Folgore Caratese 36 7 16 13 34:40 37
18 Castellana 36 7 9 20 36:61 30
19 Montichiari 36 1 2 33 26:97 5
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)