Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montijo vs Braga

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Ruiz A.
30' Event
Paulinho
46'
Sub
Sequeira N. In: Tormena V.
Out: Sequeira N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-7, with Braga advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Montijo
15%
Draws
85%
Braga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Braga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Braga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Braga a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Braga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Braga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Montijo Clean Sheet 10%
Braga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montijo Braga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 17
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 3
Goals Scored 0.9 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.14 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2020 Taça de Portugal
Montijo vs Braga
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montijo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Braga Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paulinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montijo 10 / 100
Braga 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montijo Braga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Montijo found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Braga let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Braga lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montijo VS Braga
0 Goals Scored 2.38
4 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Montijo

(Home)
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4
Atletico CP
31 Aug
Charneca Caparica
1 : 0
Montijo
21 Sept
Montijo
1 : 2
Mafra
02 Oct
GD Braganca
1 : 0
Montijo
11 Apr
Oriental
1 : 0
Montijo
Page 1 of 6

Braga

(Away)
14 Sept
Braga
1 : 0
Estoril
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1
Braga
05 Sept
Alverca
1 : 2
Braga
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
27 Aug
Austria Vienna
0 : 0
Braga
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Berco 1
Vilaverdense FC 2
SC Lourinhanense 0
Santarem 3
U. Madeira 0
Tirsense 5
TBD -
Montijo -
Trofense 1
Vila Mea 0
TBD -
Agueda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
UC Idanhense -
TBD -
Torreense 3
Uniao Almeirim 0
Alverca 3
Guadalupe 0
Porto da Cruz 1
Camacha 4
Uniao Montemor -
TBD -
TBD -
Feirense -
Amora -
TBD -
Ferreiras 3
Louletano 2
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Lusitania FC 0
Portalegrense 0
Marinhense 11
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
Alqueidao 1
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Sporting Ideal 4
Vale Formoso 0
TBD -
Merelinense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Africanos Braganca -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Moura AC 2
Culatrense 0
Beira Mar 1
Oliveira Hospital 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Fazendense 0
1º Dezembro 2
FC Crato 0
Leiria 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Fatima 0
Oleiros 3
Aguia Vimioso 1
SC Mirandela 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Maria de Fonte 1
CDC Montalegre 2
Aguiar da Beira 1
Vila Cortez 4
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
Juv. Evora 2
TBD -
Academica -
Rebordelo -
TBD -
TBD -
Varzim -
SC Vila Real 1
Mondinense 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
UD Ovarense -
TBD -
Oriental Dragon 3
Fayal 0
Santa Marta Penaguiao 2
Cinfaes 0
TBD -
Leixoes -
Alcains 2
Vitoria Sernache 3
Fabril do Barreiro 2
CD Rabo Peixe 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
FC Felgueiras 3
Aves 0
Coimbroes 1
Valadares Gaia FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Esperanca de Lagos -
TBD -
TBD -
Penafiel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Pedras Rubras 2
Amarante FC 1
TBD -
SC Salgueiros -
Caldas SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Covilha -
Anca 3
Tocha 1
Sacavenense 2
Sintrense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Sesimbra -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Desportivo Moncao -
TBD -
FC Barreirense 3
FC Madalena 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Cerveira 2
Brito 0
TBD -
Oriental -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Sertanense 1
SB Castelo Branco 0
TBD -
Estoril -
Olhanense 0
Lusitano GC 2
TBD -
Mortagua FC -
Camara de Lobos 2
Leca 1
TBD -
Vizela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Lusitano GC 0
Moncarapachense 1
Anadia 2
Condeixa 0
Calvao 0
Carapinheirense 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Atletico CP 0
Sao Roque 0
Estrela da Amadora 3
Lusitano FCV 1
Aguias do Moradal 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Farense -
Sao Martinho 2
Pevidem 0
Paredes 1
Castro Daire 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Vidago -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Ferreira de Aves 0
Sanjoanense 1
Canelas 2010 2
FC Foz 0
GD Braganca 0
AD Limianos 1
Aljustrelense 1
Praia Milfontes 0
GD Fontinhas -
TBD -
TBD -
Mafra -
Pero Pinheiro 1
SC Praiense 0
Cacadores Taipas 0
AD Fafe 3
FC Amares 0
SC Vianense 1
TBD -
Vilar de Perdizes -
Tomar 2
AD Portomosense 3
Real SC 3
SC Lusitania 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
SC Espinho -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
Ericeirense 0
GS Loures 3
Gondomar 7
Meda 0
1/64-finals
Vilaverdense FC 2
Santarem 1
Tirsense 2
Montijo 3
Trofense 4
Agueda 2
TBD -
Braga -
UC Idanhense 0
Torreense 8
Alverca 2
Camacha 1
Uniao Montemor 0
Feirense 2
Amora 1
Ferreiras 0
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Marinhense 1
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 1
Cova De Piedade 4
Sporting Ideal 0
Merelinense 1
TBD -
Moreirense -
Africanos Braganca 0
Arouca 5
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Moura AC 0
Beira Mar 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
1º Dezembro 1
Leiria 2
TBD -
Portimonense -
Oleiros 3
SC Mirandela 2
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
CDC Montalegre 3
Vila Cortez 1
Vitoria Setubal 0
Academico Viseu 1
Juv. Evora 1
Academica 3
Rebordelo 1
Varzim 3
SC Vila Real 2
Casa Pia 3
TBD -
Nacional -
UD Ovarense 1
Oriental Dragon 2
Santa Marta Penaguiao 1
Leixoes 5
Vitoria Sernache 0
Fabril do Barreiro 2
TBD -
FC Porto -
FC Felgueiras 2
Valadares Gaia FC 1
TBD -
Tondela -
Esperanca de Lagos 1
Penafiel 3
TBD -
Maritimo -
Pedras Rubras 2
SC Salgueiros 3
Caldas SC 1
Covilha 2
Anca 2
Sacavenense 3
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Sesimbra 1
Oliveirense 4
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Desportivo Moncao 2
FC Barreirense 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Cerveira 0
Oriental 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
Sertanense 0
Estoril 4
Lusitano GC 2
Mortagua FC 1
Camara de Lobos 0
Vizela 2
TBD -
Boavista -
Moncarapachense 1
Anadia 2
Carapinheirense 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Estrela da Amadora 2
Lusitano FCV 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
Sao Martinho 1
Paredes 2
TBD -
Benfica -
Vidago 1
Vilafranquense 5
Sanjoanense 1
Canelas 2010 0
AD Limianos 2
Aljustrelense 1
GD Fontinhas 1
Mafra 0
Pero Pinheiro 0
AD Fafe 1
SC Vianense 0
Vilar de Perdizes 1
AD Portomosense 0
Real SC 3
TBD -
BSAD -
SC Espinho 1
Chaves 0
GS Loures 0
Gondomar 2
1/32-finals
Vilaverdense FC 2
Montijo 3
Trofense 1
Braga 2
Torreense 2
Alverca 0
Feirense 0
Amora 1
Marinhense 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Merelinense 0
Moreirense 1
Arouca 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Beira Mar 1
Santa Clara 3
Leiria 1
Portimonense 0
Oleiros 0
Gil Vicente 1
CDC Montalegre 2
Academico Viseu 3
Academica 1
Varzim 0
Casa Pia 2
Nacional 3
Oriental Dragon 0
Leixoes 1
Fabril do Barreiro 0
FC Porto 2
FC Felgueiras 0
Tondela 1
Penafiel 2
Maritimo 3
SC Salgueiros 2
Covilha 1
Sacavenense 1
Sporting CP 7
Oliveirense 0
Pacos Ferreira 4
Desportivo Moncao 1
Rio Ave 2
Oriental 0
Famalicao 3
Estoril 5
Lusitano GC 0
Vizela 0
Boavista 1
Anadia 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Estrela da Amadora 2
SC Farense 0
Paredes 0
Benfica 1
Vilafranquense 2
Sanjoanense 1
AD Limianos 1
GD Fontinhas 2
AD Fafe 5
Vilar de Perdizes 1
Real SC 0
BSAD 2
SC Espinho 2
Gondomar 1
1/16-finals
Montijo 0
Braga 7
Torreense 1
Amora 0
Cova De Piedade 2
Moreirense 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Santa Clara 1
Leiria 0
Gil Vicente 3
Academico Viseu 3
Academica 0
Nacional 3
Leixoes 1
FC Porto 2
Tondela 1
Maritimo 2
SC Salgueiros 1
Sporting CP 3
Pacos Ferreira 0
Rio Ave 2
Famalicao 1
Estoril 2
Boavista 1
Anadia 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Benfica 5
Vilafranquense 0
GD Fontinhas 1
AD Fafe 2
BSAD 3
SC Espinho 0
1/8-finals
Braga 5
Torreense 0
Moreirense 1
Santa Clara 2
Gil Vicente 3
Academico Viseu 2
Nacional 2
FC Porto 4
Maritimo 2
Sporting CP 0
Rio Ave 1
Estoril 2
Estrela da Amadora 0
Benfica 4
AD Fafe 2
BSAD 3
Quarter-finals
Braga 2
Santa Clara 1
Gil Vicente 0
FC Porto 2
Maritimo 1
Estoril 3
Benfica 3
BSAD 0
Semi-finals
Braga 4
FC Porto 3
Estoril 1
Benfica 5
Final
Braga 2
Benfica 0