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Montijo vs Jerez CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Chavez C.

AI Match Summary

Jerez CF in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jerez CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Montijo
22%
Draws
18%
Jerez CF
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Montijo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montijo lately — more wins on the board than Jerez CF.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Montijo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Montijo Clean Sheet 68%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montijo Jerez CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 14
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Jerez CF
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Montijo
1:3
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Montijo
0:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Jerez CF
1:1
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Montijo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montijo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Jerez CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montijo 68 / 100
Jerez CF 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montijo Jerez CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerez CF has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Montijo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Montijo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montijo VS Jerez CF
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montijo

(Home)
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2
Montijo
26 Apr
Montijo
0 : 1
Gevora
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Montijo
1 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
Page 1 of 6

Jerez CF

(Away)
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1
Jerez CF
26 Apr
Villanovense
2 : 0
Jerez CF
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2
Don Benito
12 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
3 : 0
Jerez CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)