Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Montijo

0 - 1

SP Villafranca

Our Tip

Match Events

47'

Quintero J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between Montijo and SP Villafranca finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SP Villafranca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Montijo

39%

Draws

30%

SP Villafranca

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

SP Villafranca carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Montijo Clean Sheet 18%

SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Montijo	SP Villafranca
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	14
Draws	6	6
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.63	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Montijo vs SP Villafranca

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

SP Villafranca vs Montijo

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Montijo vs SP Villafranca

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

SP Villafranca vs Montijo

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montijo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

SP Villafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintero J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montijo 32 / 100

SP Villafranca 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Montijo SP Villafranca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montijo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

SP Villafranca let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Solid form: Montijo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montijo VS SP Villafranca

1.63 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Don Benito	34	21	8	5	70:22	71
2	CD Badajoz	34	23	5	6	64:27	71
3	Moralo	34	17	11	6	54:32	62
4	CD Azuaga	34	18	8	8	53:31	62
5	Jaraiz	34	16	11	7	53:33	59
6	Cabeza del Buey	34	15	12	7	45:29	57
7	SP Villafranca	34	16	7	11	45:40	55
8	Villanovense	34	15	8	11	45:36	53
9	Montijo	34	13	7	14	43:42	46
10	Jerez CF	34	8	17	9	56:51	41
11	AD Llerenense	34	11	8	15	35:44	41
12	Puebla de la Calzada	34	9	11	14	35:48	38
13	Santa Amalia	34	9	7	18	30:52	34
14	Gevora	34	8	9	17	32:53	33
15	Pueblonuevo	34	9	6	19	29:55	33
16	CD Diocesano	34	6	12	16	33:63	30
17	Montehermoso	34	5	8	21	24:66	23
18	CD Calamonte	34	3	13	18	25:47	22