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Montilla vs AD Ceuta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013
Montilla Logo

Montilla

3 - 0
FT
AD Ceuta Logo

AD Ceuta

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montilla in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Montilla
20%
Draws
50%
AD Ceuta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Ceuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Ceuta have won more games recently than Montilla.
  • AD Ceuta are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Montilla Clean Sheet 20%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montilla AD Ceuta
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Montilla vs AD Ceuta
3:0
Sep 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs Montilla
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montilla 16 / 100
AD Ceuta 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montilla AD Ceuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Ceuta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montilla scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

AD Ceuta let in goals in 77% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Montilla stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Ceuta
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montilla

(Home)
31 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 0
Montilla
19 Oct
Montilla
0 : 1
Rincon
19 May
Algeciras
4 : 0
Montilla
12 May
Montilla
3 : 1
Conil
05 May
Mairena
2 : 0
Montilla
Page 1 of 6

AD Ceuta

(Away)
04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1
AD Ceuta
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1
Real Sociedad B
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1
Valladolid
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeciras 38 21 13 4 65:27 76
2 Cordoba B 38 21 12 5 59:22 75
3 Coria C.F. 38 19 11 8 64:37 68
4 Mairena 38 17 14 7 47:28 65
5 AD Ceuta 38 18 9 11 63:38 63
6 Cabecense 38 14 17 7 52:35 59
7 CD Alcala 38 16 10 12 49:39 58
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:57 50
9 San Roque de Cadiz 37 14 8 15 45:55 50
10 Portuense 37 11 16 10 35:33 49
11 Cadiz B 38 12 11 15 36:47 47
12 Conil 38 11 12 15 46:56 45
13 Sevilla C 38 10 14 14 40:46 44
14 CMD San Juan 38 10 13 15 35:44 43
15 Pozoblanco 38 10 11 17 30:50 41
16 Arcos CF 38 11 8 19 37:59 41
17 Ayamonte 38 11 7 20 35:61 40
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 34:51 40
19 Los Barrios 38 9 11 18 30:55 38
20 Montilla 38 9 6 23 37:56 33
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)