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Montilla vs San Roque de Cadiz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013 game between Montilla and San Roque de Cadiz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Montilla
15%
Draws
57%
San Roque de Cadiz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Roque de Cadiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • San Roque de Cadiz haven't matched Montilla's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Montilla Clean Sheet 20%
San Roque de Cadiz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montilla San Roque de Cadiz
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 0.93 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Montilla vs San Roque de Cadiz
1:0
Oct 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Cadiz vs Montilla
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montilla 32 / 100
San Roque de Cadiz 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montilla San Roque de Cadiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Roque de Cadiz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 34 matches.

Montilla scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

San Roque de Cadiz lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montilla VS San Roque de Cadiz
0 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montilla

(Home)
31 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 0
Montilla
19 Oct
Montilla
0 : 1
Rincon
19 May
Algeciras
4 : 0
Montilla
12 May
Montilla
3 : 1
Conil
05 May
Mairena
2 : 0
Montilla
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San Roque de Cadiz

(Away)
25 Jul
San Roque de Cadiz
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
27 Jul
San Roque de Cadiz
2 : 1
Algeciras
11 May
San Roque de Cadiz
2 : 3
Lebrijana
06 May
Ecija
3 : 0
San Roque de Cadiz
30 Apr
San Roque de Cadiz
0 : 3
Betis B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeciras 38 21 13 4 65:27 76
2 Cordoba B 38 21 12 5 59:22 75
3 Coria C.F. 38 19 11 8 64:37 68
4 Mairena 38 17 14 7 47:28 65
5 AD Ceuta 38 18 9 11 63:38 63
6 Cabecense 38 14 17 7 52:35 59
7 CD Alcala 38 16 10 12 49:39 58
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:57 50
9 San Roque de Cadiz 37 14 8 15 45:55 50
10 Portuense 37 11 16 10 35:33 49
11 Cadiz B 38 12 11 15 36:47 47
12 Conil 38 11 12 15 46:56 45
13 Sevilla C 38 10 14 14 40:46 44
14 CMD San Juan 38 10 13 15 35:44 43
15 Pozoblanco 38 10 11 17 30:50 41
16 Arcos CF 38 11 8 19 37:59 41
17 Ayamonte 38 11 7 20 35:61 40
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 34:51 40
19 Los Barrios 38 9 11 18 30:55 38
20 Montilla 38 9 6 23 37:56 33
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)