Sport Picks

France

National 2 - Group A

Montlouis

2 - 1

Bayonne

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Cisse I.

66'

Hidasse Y.

77'

Marie-Louise G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montlouis in this National 2 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montlouis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Montlouis

Draws

90%

Bayonne

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bayonne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Bayonne lately — more wins on the board than Montlouis.
90% — that's where the model lands on Bayonne taking it.
Regular National 2 - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%

Montlouis Clean Sheet 14%

Bayonne Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Montlouis	Bayonne
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	7	16
Draws	10	3
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	0.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 National 2 - Group A

Montlouis vs Bayonne

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Nov 8, 2025 National 2 - Group A

Bayonne vs Montlouis

Possession: 40% - 40% Cards: 3 - 4

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidasse Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Marie-Louise G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Cisse I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlouis 10 / 100

Bayonne 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Montlouis Bayonne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montlouis's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Bayonne conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Montlouis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montlouis VS Bayonne

0.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	La Roche Vendee	30	19	8	3	61:27	65
2	Bordeaux	30	19	5	6	51:28	62
3	Bayonne	30	17	4	9	42:27	55
4	Saint-Malo	30	13	11	6	43:29	50
5	Les Herbiers	30	14	7	9	45:33	49
6	Angouleme CFC	30	11	10	9	33:36	43
7	Dinan	30	12	5	13	44:45	41
8	Avranches	30	10	10	10	46:41	40
9	Chauray	30	11	5	14	35:38	38
10	St. Colomban Locmine	30	9	10	11	31:34	37
11	Montlouis	30	7	10	13	42:50	31
12	Lorient II	30	9	5	16	38:51	31
13	Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant	30	8	6	16	25:47	30
14	Granville	30	6	11	13	32:41	29
15	Saumur Olympique	30	6	10	14	37:56	28
16	Stade Poitevin	30	5	11	14	21:43	25