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Montlouis vs Bayonne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Montlouis Logo

Montlouis

2 - 1
FT
Bayonne Logo

Bayonne

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Cisse I.
66' Event
Hidasse Y.
77' Event
Marie-Louise G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montlouis in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montlouis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Montlouis
30%
Draws
47%
Bayonne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bayonne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bayonne lately — more wins on the board than Montlouis.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Bayonne taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 16%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montlouis Bayonne
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 17
Draws 12 3
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.6 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Montlouis vs Bayonne
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Bayonne vs Montlouis
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidasse Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marie-Louise G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Cisse I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlouis 19 / 100
Bayonne 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montlouis Bayonne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayonne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montlouis's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Bayonne conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Montlouis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montlouis VS Bayonne
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montlouis

(Home)
03 Oct
Montlouis
1 : 0
Saint-Pryve
19 Sept
Biesheim
5 : 2
Montlouis
12 Sept
Montlouis
0 : 0
Creteil
05 Sept
Furiani Agliani
3 : 2
Montlouis
29 Aug
Montlouis
0 : 0
Epinal
Page 1 of 6

Bayonne

(Away)
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
18 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Bayonne
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)