Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montlucon vs Balma

France France

CFA - Group C 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montlucon in this CFA - Group C 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montlucon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Montlucon
15%
Draws
34%
Balma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montlucon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montlucon lately — more wins on the board than Balma.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Montlucon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Montlucon have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Montlucon Clean Sheet 20%
Balma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montlucon Balma
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.23 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Montlucon
1:2
Aug 15, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Montlucon vs Balma
1:0
Mar 14, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Montlucon vs Balma
3:2
Sep 20, 2008 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Montlucon
0:3
May 26, 2007 National 1 - Group C
Montlucon vs Balma
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlucon 85 / 100
Balma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montlucon Balma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montlucon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balma has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Montlucon scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Balma has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montlucon VS Balma
1.83 Goals Scored 0.88
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montlucon

(Home)
13 Nov
Montlucon
0 : 1
Bergerac
17 Nov
Montlucon
0 : 1
Viry-Chatillon
20 Nov
Montlucon
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
29 May
Montlucon
4 : 2
Toulouse Fontaines Club
22 May
PSG II
1 : 6
Montlucon
Page 1 of 6

Balma

(Away)
11 Aug
Balma
2 : 2
Bergerac
11 Nov
Balma
0 : 3
Les Herbiers
03 Dec
Balma
0 : 3
Bergerac
12 Nov
Balma
3 : 0
Luc Primaube
15 Nov
Genets
1 : 0
Balma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzenac 34 20 9 5 59:26 103
2 Moulins 34 18 8 8 56:41 96
3 Pau 34 17 9 8 42:25 94
4 Fontenay 34 16 9 9 37:32 91
5 Moulins-Yzeure 34 15 9 10 60:43 88
6 Bordeaux II 34 14 10 10 41:35 86
7 Le Mans II 34 12 12 10 35:33 82
8 Romorantin 34 13 10 11 49:49 82
9 Lucon 34 12 11 11 39:37 81
10 Aurillac 34 10 14 10 48:44 78
11 Colomiers 34 9 14 11 33:32 75
12 Montlucon 34 9 12 13 43:54 73
13 Balma 34 9 9 16 47:54 70
14 Albi 34 10 6 18 27:42 70
15 Genets 34 9 8 17 35:53 69
16 Chatellerault 34 7 13 14 50:66 68
17 Stade Bordelais 34 7 11 16 27:47 66
18 Bergerac 34 4 16 14 32:47 62
Promotion - National 2009/2010 (Main)