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Montpellier II vs Pontet

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CFA - Group D 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2016/2017 game between Montpellier II and Pontet finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montpellier II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Montpellier II
15%
Draws
42%
Pontet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montpellier II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Pontet haven't matched Montpellier II's recent run of results.
  • Montpellier II are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Montpellier II Clean Sheet 16%
Pontet Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier II Pontet
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Montpellier II vs Pontet
2:1
Dec 21, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Pontet vs Montpellier II
1:1
Apr 4, 2015 National 1 - Group C
Montpellier II vs Pontet
1:1
Nov 8, 2014 National 1 - Group C
Pontet vs Montpellier II
1:2
Jan 30, 2010 National 1 - Group B
Pontet vs Montpellier II
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier II 57 / 100
Pontet 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier II Pontet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montpellier II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montpellier II scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Pontet's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Pontet lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier II VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier II

(Home)
28 May
Bergerac
2 : 1
Montpellier II
21 May
Montpellier II
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
14 May
Angers II
1 : 0
Montpellier II
30 Apr
Montpellier II
1 : 3
Le Puy-en-Velay
23 Apr
Bourges 18
2 : 1
Montpellier II
Page 1 of 7

Pontet

(Away)
20 May
Pontet
2 : 4
Marignane GCB
13 May
Montpellier II
2 : 1
Pontet
29 Apr
Pontet
0 : 2
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Apr
Pontet
2 : 0
Stade Montois
15 Apr
Rodez
1 : 0
Pontet
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodez 30 18 7 5 43:27 61
2 Stade Montois 30 14 9 7 46:28 51
3 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 15 6 9 46:31 51
4 Toulon 30 12 8 10 42:33 44
5 Colomiers 30 11 10 9 35:37 43
6 Hyeres 30 10 13 7 32:22 43
7 Monaco II 30 12 6 12 54:48 42
8 Marignane GCB 30 10 10 10 47:45 40
9 Tarbes 30 9 12 9 32:32 39
10 Marseille II 30 10 8 12 30:32 38
11 Martigues 30 10 8 12 33:40 38
12 Nice II 30 8 11 11 37:50 35
13 Sete 30 8 11 11 26:28 35
14 Pezenas 30 8 9 13 34:45 33
15 Montpellier II 30 8 7 15 26:45 31
16 Pontet 30 5 9 16 25:45 24
Promotion - National 2017/2018 (Main)