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Stadium Background

Montpellier vs Cannes

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Camara M.
Penalty Missed
9' Event
Chennahi T.
19' Event
Gerbeaud R.

AI Match Summary

Cannes in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cannes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Montpellier
39%
Draws
31%
Cannes
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cannes lately — more wins on the board than Montpellier.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 15%
Cannes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier Cannes
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs Cannes
3:4
Feb 11, 2014 Coupe de France
Cannes vs Montpellier
1:0
Dec 14, 2008 Coupe de France
Montpellier vs Cannes
1:0
Feb 17, 2001 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Cannes
2:0
Oct 31, 2000 Coupe de la Ligue
Cannes vs Montpellier
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montpellier Compare

Top Goalscorer Chennahi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Cannes Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerbeaud R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kerouedan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier 30 / 100
Cannes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier Cannes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MNT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montpellier scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Cannes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Montpellier has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier VS Cannes
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier

(Home)
25 Jul
Clermont
0 : 1
Montpellier
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4
Cannes
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2
Aubagne FC
09 May
Red Star
1 : 1
Montpellier
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Cannes

(Away)
26 Jul
Cannes
3 : 3
AS Roma
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4
Cannes
17 Jul
Rodez
4 : 1
Cannes
16 May
Cannes
2 : 0
St. Maur Lusitanos
09 May
Rousset Ste Victoire
1 : 3
Cannes
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