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Montpellier vs Cannes

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Camara M.
Penalty Missed
9' Event
Chennahi T.
19' Event
Gerbeaud R.

AI Match Summary

Cannes in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cannes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Montpellier
35%
Draws
34%
Cannes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cannes lately — more wins on the board than Montpellier.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 15%
Cannes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier Cannes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 11
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.59 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs Cannes
3:4
Feb 11, 2014 Coupe de France
Cannes vs Montpellier
1:0
Dec 14, 2008 Coupe de France
Montpellier vs Cannes
1:0
Feb 17, 2001 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Cannes
2:0
Oct 31, 2000 Coupe de la Ligue
Cannes vs Montpellier
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montpellier Compare

Top Goalscorer Chennahi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cannes Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerbeaud R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kerouedan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier 31 / 100
Cannes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier Cannes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cannes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montpellier scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Montpellier remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Cannes has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier VS Cannes
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier

(Home)
18 Sept
Reims
1 : 1
Montpellier
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0
Pau
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1
Montpellier
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Montpellier
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Cannes

(Away)
17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1
Cannes
10 Sept
Cannes
0 : 0
Amiens SC
05 Sept
Versailles
0 : 3
Cannes
29 Aug
Cannes
2 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
20 Aug
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Cannes
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