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Montpellier vs Rodez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montpellier in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montpellier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Montpellier
30%
Draws
23%
Rodez
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montpellier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rodez have won more games recently than Montpellier.
  • Montpellier are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 19%
Rodez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier Rodez
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.59 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs Rodez
4:2
Feb 20, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Montpellier
1:0
Oct 31, 2025 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Rodez
2:0
Jul 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs Rodez
0:2
Dec 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs Rodez
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier 49 / 100
Rodez 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier Rodez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montpellier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodez let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Montpellier scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Montpellier has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier VS Rodez
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier

(Home)
18 Sept
Reims
1 : 1
Montpellier
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0
Pau
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1
Montpellier
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Montpellier
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Rodez

(Away)
03 Oct
Rodez
2 : 0
Inter Escaldes
18 Sept
Rodez
3 : 4
Nancy
11 Sept
Rodez
0 : 1
Grenoble
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
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