Sport Picks

Canada

NSL Women Stade Boreale

AFC Toronto W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montreal Roses FC W play AFC Toronto W in the NSL Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Montreal Roses FC W averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. AFC Toronto W averaged 1.56 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. In past meetings, Montreal Roses FC W won 1, AFC Toronto W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 13, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Montreal Roses FC W and 1.19 for AFC Toronto W. This points to a Montreal Roses FC W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Montreal Roses FC W

32%

Draws

31%

AFC Toronto W

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Montreal Roses FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Montreal Roses FC W picked up more points recently compared to AFC Toronto W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 20%

AFC Toronto W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Montreal Roses FC W	AFC Toronto W
Matches Played	10	9
Wins	5	4
Draws	3	3
Losses	2	2
Goals Scored	2.1	1.56
Goals Conceded	1.1	0.89
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NSL Women

AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

May 10, 2026 NSL Women

AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montreal Roses FC W 37 / 100

AFC Toronto W 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Montreal Roses FC W AFC Toronto W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Montreal Roses FC W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Montreal Roses FC W attacking → ← attacking AFC Toronto W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montreal Roses FC W scored in 100% of their last 10 games.

AFC Toronto W let in goals in 67% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Montreal Roses FC W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

AFC Toronto W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 15

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ottawa Rapid FC W	10	7	1	2	24:12	22
2	Montreal Roses FC W	10	5	3	2	21:11	18
3	AFC Toronto W	9	4	3	2	14:8	15
4	Halifax Tides FC W	10	4	2	4	13:9	14
5	Vancouver Rise FC W	10	3	1	6	13:27	10
6	Calgary Wild FC W	9	0	2	7	6:24	2

Montreal Roses FC W vs AFC Toronto W

Canada