Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montrose vs Dundee Utd B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Links Park, Montrose
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Montrose have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.53 conceded recently, against Dundee Utd B's 0.82 scored and 2.47 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 0.83, favoring Montrose. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Montrose
15%
Draws
28%
Dundee Utd B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montrose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Montrose have won more games recently than Dundee Utd B.
  • Model gives Montrose a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Montrose have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Montrose Clean Sheet 20%
Dundee Utd B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montrose Dundee Utd B
Matches Played 32 17
Wins 16 4
Draws 4 0
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.88 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montrose 76 / 100
Dundee Utd B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montrose Dundee Utd B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montrose Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dundee Utd B conceded in 88% of 17 recent games.

Montrose scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Difficult form: Dundee Utd B registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Solid form: Montrose remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montrose VS Dundee Utd B
2.13 Goals Scored 0.67
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Montrose

(Home)
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2
Montrose
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2
Montrose
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1
Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 7

Dundee Utd B

(Away)
26 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 1
Dundee Utd B
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0
Dundee Utd B
08 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 3
Dundee Utd B
25 Aug
Cove Rangers
2 : 0
Dundee Utd B
11 Aug
Clachnacuddin
5 : 0
Dundee Utd B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)