Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montrose vs Dundee Utd

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Links Park, Montrose
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Webster G.
40'
Naamo D.
46'
Sub
Graham R. In: Forbes M.
Out: Graham R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Montrose
15%
Draws
18%
Dundee Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montrose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Montrose have won more games recently than Dundee Utd.
  • Win probability leans Montrose's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Montrose have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dundee Utd, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Montrose Clean Sheet 20%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montrose Dundee Utd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Cup
Montrose vs Dundee Utd
1:0
Jan 19, 2019 Scottish Cup
Montrose vs Dundee Utd
0:4
Jul 12, 2011 Club Friendly
Dundee Utd vs Montrose
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montrose Compare

Top Goalscorer Webster G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Dundee Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montrose 85 / 100
Dundee Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montrose Dundee Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montrose Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Montrose stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Montrose found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Dundee Utd conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Montrose VS Dundee Utd
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montrose

(Home)
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1
Cove Rangers
08 Sept
Montrose
3 : 2
Dundee FC B
05 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 3
Montrose
29 Aug
Montrose
2 : 1
Queen of the South
25 Aug
Montrose
3 : 0
Clyde
Page 1 of 6

Dundee Utd

(Away)
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
29 Aug
Kilmarnock
0 : 4
Dundee Utd
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
15 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 4
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams