Sport Picks

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Montrose vs Dundee Utd

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Links Park
Tue, Jul 14, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montrose play Dundee Utd in the League Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Montrose averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. Dundee Utd averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Montrose won 0, Dundee Utd won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 19, 2019 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Montrose and 1.56 for Dundee Utd. This points to a Dundee Utd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Montrose
30%
Draws
36%
Dundee Utd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dundee Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Montrose picked up more points recently compared to Dundee Utd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Montrose Clean Sheet 15%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montrose Dundee Utd
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2019 Scottish Cup
Montrose vs Dundee Utd
0:4
Jul 12, 2011 Club Friendly
Dundee Utd vs Montrose
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montrose 34 / 100
Dundee Utd 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montrose Dundee Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dundee Utd or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Montrose attacking → ← attacking Dundee Utd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montrose scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Dundee Utd let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Montrose went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dundee Utd lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 36
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50