Sport Picks
Montrose vs Fraserburgh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup Links Park, Montrose 
Match Events
36'
36'
Oliver G.
(Penalty)
47'
47'
Sutherland J.
Assist: Donaldson F.
59'
59'
Oliver G.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fraserburgh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fraserburgh have won more games recently than Montrose.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Fraserburgh arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Montrose, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Montrose Clean Sheet 13%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montrose | Fraserburgh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Challenge Cup
Montrose vs Fraserburgh
2:0
Jul 12, 2022 League Cup
Fraserburgh vs Montrose
2:4
Jun 29, 2021 Club Friendly
Montrose vs Fraserburgh
0:0
Apr 3, 2021 Scottish Cup
Fraserburgh vs Montrose
2:4
Nov 2, 2013 Scottish Cup
Fraserburgh vs Montrose
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montrose Compare
Top Goalscorer Sutherland J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Fraserburgh Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montrose 31 / 100
Fraserburgh 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montrose Fraserburgh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fraserburgh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Montrose scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Fraserburgh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.
Montrose went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Montrose VS Fraserburgh
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Montrose
(Home) 13 Oct
Montrose
2 : 1 Dundee Utd B
10 Oct
Montrose
0 : 5 Ross County
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Montrose
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Montrose
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2 Montrose
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Montrose
2 : 1 Dundee Utd B
10 Oct
Montrose
0 : 5 Ross County
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1 Cove Rangers
08 Sept
Montrose
3 : 2 Dundee FC B
29 Aug
Montrose
2 : 1 Queen of the South
Page 1 of 4
Fraserburgh
(Away) 13 Oct
Fraserburgh
2 : 3 Dundee FC B
10 Oct
Fraserburgh
2 : 2 Strathspey Thistle
07 Oct
Banks O' Dee
1 : 3 Fraserburgh
03 Oct
Caledonian Braves
4 : 0 Fraserburgh
26 Sept
Fraserburgh
4 : 3 Stirling
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Banks O' Dee
1 : 3 Fraserburgh
03 Oct
Caledonian Braves
4 : 0 Fraserburgh
19 Sept
Wick Academy
2 : 3 Fraserburgh
08 Sept
Elgin City
7 : 0 Fraserburgh
05 Sept
Deveronvale
3 : 1 Fraserburgh
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Ross County | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 30:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Peterhead | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 6 | East Kilbride | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19:13 | 13 |
| 7 | St. Mirren B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Elgin City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:3 | 12 |
| 9 | Alloa | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 10 | Hamilton | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 11 | Montrose | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | 12 |
| 12 | Celtic B | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18:14 | 12 |
| 13 | Queen of the South | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 14 | Stirling | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:12 | 11 |
| 15 | Aberdeen B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 16 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 10 |
| 18 | Berwick | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 19 | Annan | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 20 | Formartine Utd | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 21 | Spartans | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 22 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 9 |
| 23 | Hearts B | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17:29 | 9 |
| 24 | Stranraer | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:15 | 7 |
| 25 | East Fife | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:13 | 7 |
| 26 | Forfar Athletic | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 27 | Banks O' Dee | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 28 | Dumbarton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 29 | Rangers B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:11 | 6 |
| 30 | Clyde | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 31 | Kilmarnock B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 5 |
| 32 | Cumbernauld Colts | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 33 | Clachnacuddin | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:17 | 4 |
| 34 | Fraserburgh | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:21 | 4 |
| 35 | Dundee FC B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 36 | Dundee Utd B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:14 | 3 |
| 37 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:17 | 2 |
| 38 | Hibernian B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:14 | 1 |
| 39 | Cowdenbeath | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:20 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
