Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Oliver G.
(Penalty)
47'
47'
Sutherland J.
Assist: Donaldson F.
59'
59'
Oliver G.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fraserburgh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fraserburgh have won more games recently than Montrose.
- Fraserburgh are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Fraserburgh arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Montrose, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Montrose Clean Sheet 16%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montrose | Fraserburgh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.84 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.84 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Challenge Cup
Montrose vs Fraserburgh
2:0
Jul 12, 2022 League Cup
Fraserburgh vs Montrose
2:4
Jun 29, 2021 Club Friendly
Montrose vs Fraserburgh
0:0
Apr 3, 2021 Scottish Cup
Fraserburgh vs Montrose
2:4
Nov 2, 2013 Scottish Cup
Fraserburgh vs Montrose
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montrose Compare
Top Goalscorer Sutherland J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Fraserburgh Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montrose 19 / 100
Fraserburgh 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montrose Fraserburgh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fraserburgh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montrose's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Fraserburgh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.
Montrose went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Montrose VS Fraserburgh
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Montrose
(Home) 11 Aug
Montrose
2 : 0 Fraserburgh
08 Aug
Ross County
2 : 1 Montrose
01 Aug
Montrose
0 : 5 Hamilton
25 Jul
Montrose
0 : 2 Spartans
21 Jul
Arbroath
0 : 2 Montrose
Page 1 of 7
11 Aug
Montrose
2 : 0 Fraserburgh
01 Aug
Montrose
0 : 5 Hamilton
25 Jul
Montrose
0 : 2 Spartans
14 Jul
Montrose
1 : 0 Dundee Utd
08 Jul
Montrose
7 : 0 Inverurie Loco Works
Page 1 of 4
Fraserburgh
(Away) 11 Aug
Montrose
2 : 0 Fraserburgh
08 Aug
Forres Mechanics
0 : 2 Fraserburgh
05 Aug
Fraserburgh
1 : 0 Keith
01 Aug
Rothes
0 : 7 Fraserburgh
25 Jul
Fraserburgh
0 : 0 Invergordon
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
Montrose
2 : 0 Fraserburgh
08 Aug
Forres Mechanics
0 : 2 Fraserburgh
01 Aug
Rothes
0 : 7 Fraserburgh
11 Apr
Clachnacuddin
2 : 4 Fraserburgh
08 Apr
Nairn County
0 : 1 Fraserburgh
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clachnacuddin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Peterhead | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Rangers B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Queen of the South | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Clydebank FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 6 | St. Mirren B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Formartine Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Aberdeen B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Stirling | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Airdrieonians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Celtic B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 13 | Edinburgh City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Montrose | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 15 | Hearts B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 16 | Kelty Hearts | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Ross County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 18 | Alloa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 19 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 20 | Spartans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 21 | East Fife | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 22 | Motherwell B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 23 | Berwick | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 24 | Stranraer | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 25 | Elgin City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 26 | Annan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 27 | Kilmarnock B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 28 | Cove Rangers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 29 | Cowdenbeath | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 30 | Hamilton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 31 | Dumbarton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Dundee FC B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 34 | Clyde | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 35 | Forfar Athletic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 36 | Banks O' Dee | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 37 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 38 | Cumbernauld Colts | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 40 | Dundee Utd B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
