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Montrose vs Spartans Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Links Park, Montrose
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Craigen J.
35'
McKay D.
46'
Sub
Byrne S. In: Bertie K.
Out: Byrne S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Montrose
15%
Draws
46%
Spartans
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Spartans haven't matched Montrose's recent run of results.
  • Montrose are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Montrose have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Montrose, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Montrose Clean Sheet 17%
Spartans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montrose Spartans
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League Cup
Montrose vs Spartans
0:2
Dec 22, 2025 Challenge Cup
Montrose vs Spartans
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Montrose vs Spartans
3:1
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Spartans vs Montrose
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montrose Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Spartans Compare

Top Goalscorer Craigen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ross M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montrose 39 / 100
Spartans 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montrose Spartans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montrose Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Montrose found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Spartans conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Montrose went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montrose VS Spartans
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montrose

(Home)
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2
Montrose
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2
Montrose
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1
Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Spartans

(Away)
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
25 Sept
Spartans
1 : 0
Dundee FC B
22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0
Spartans
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0
Spartans
12 Sept
Spartans
5 : 1
Forfar Athletic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams