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Montrose W vs Aberdeen W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 Links Park, Montrose
Montrose W Logo

Montrose W

2 - 1
FT
Aberdeen W Logo

Aberdeen W

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Finnie M.
Assist: Ogilvie F.
85' Event
Martin S.
Assist: Taylor D.
90' Event
Taylor D.
Assist: McDonald K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 game between Montrose W and Aberdeen W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montrose W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Montrose W
15%
Draws
85%
Aberdeen W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aberdeen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montrose W come out ahead of Aberdeen W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aberdeen W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Montrose W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Montrose W Clean Sheet 10%
Aberdeen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montrose W Aberdeen W
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 12 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 2.06 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.22 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Montrose W
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Aberdeen W
2:1
Jan 18, 2026 Scottish Cup Women
Aberdeen W vs Montrose W
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Montrose W
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Aberdeen W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montrose W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taylor D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Aberdeen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Finnie M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montrose W 26 / 100
Aberdeen W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montrose W Aberdeen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montrose W scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Aberdeen W let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Aberdeen W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Montrose W VS Aberdeen W
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
3.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montrose W

(Home)
04 Oct
Montrose W
1 : 3
Glasgow City W
27 Sept
Partick W
3 : 2
Montrose W
20 Sept
Hibernian W
6 : 1
Montrose W
13 Sept
Boroughmuir W
1 : 0
Montrose W
06 Sept
Montrose W
0 : 7
Hearts W
Page 1 of 7

Aberdeen W

(Away)
04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0
Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Aberdeen W
0 : 2
Hibernian W
20 Sept
Rangers W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
06 Sept
Spartans W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
30 Aug
Aberdeen W
0 : 3
Partick W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Motherwell W 24 8 3 13 35:52 27
8 Montrose W 24 8 3 13 33:60 27
9 Aberdeen W 24 5 3 16 30:59 18
10 Hamilton W 24 0 2 22 10:104 2
Relegation - SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)