Sport Picks
Montserrat vs Dominican Republic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 
Match Events
18'
18'
Lopez J.
20'
20'
Mason D.
37'
37'
Barzey B.
AI Match Summary
The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between Montserrat and Dominican Republic finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montserrat.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montserrat
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dominican Republic carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Montserrat a 49% chance of winning this.
- Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Montserrat Clean Sheet 20%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montserrat | Dominican Republic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 2.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 1.02 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 17, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Montserrat vs Dominican Republic
2:1
Sep 11, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominican Republic vs Montserrat
3:0
Oct 15, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominican Republic vs Montserrat
0:0
Sep 7, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Montserrat vs Dominican Republic
2:1
Mar 18, 2000 World Championship
Montserrat vs Dominican Republic
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montserrat Compare
Top Goalscorer Barzey B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Strawbridge K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83
Dominican Republic Compare
Top Goalscorer Reyes E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montserrat 85 / 100
Dominican Republic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montserrat Dominican Republic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montserrat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montserrat's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Dominican Republic conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Montserrat went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Montserrat VS Dominican Republic
2.2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Montserrat
(Home) 06 Oct
Montserrat
4 : 1 Turks and Caicos Islands
01 Oct
British Virgin Islands
0 : 2 Montserrat
26 Sept
Montserrat
3 : 0 British Virgin Islands
23 Sept
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 : 2 Montserrat
11 Jun
Guyana
3 : 0 Montserrat
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06 Oct
Montserrat
4 : 1 Turks and Caicos Islands
26 Sept
Montserrat
3 : 0 British Virgin Islands
04 Jun
Montserrat
1 : 0 Belize
14 Nov
Montserrat
1 : 2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
13 Oct
Montserrat
0 : 1 Bonaire
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Dominican Republic
(Away) 05 Oct
Nicaragua
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
02 Oct
Dominican Republic
1 : 4 Haiti
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2 Nicaragua
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2 Dominican Republic
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05 Oct
Nicaragua
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2 Dominican Republic
10 Oct
Uruguay
1 : 0 Dominican Republic
09 Sept
Jordan
3 : 0 Dominican Republic
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadeloupe | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicaragua | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Montserrat | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 4 | Barbados | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7:26 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | French Guiana | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 3 | Bermuda | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Belize | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | 7 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guyana | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 3 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:22 | 4 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7:21 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
