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Montserrat vs Nicaragua

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Perez J.
Assist: Acevedo O.
25'
Smith A.
35'
Barrera J.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between Montserrat and Nicaragua finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nicaragua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Montserrat
17%
Draws
13%
Nicaragua
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Montserrat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Nicaragua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Montserrat taking it.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nicaragua have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Montserrat Clean Sheet 20%
Nicaragua Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montserrat Nicaragua
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.4 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.40 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.40 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2024 World Championship
Nicaragua vs Montserrat
4:1
Oct 17, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Nicaragua vs Montserrat
3:0
Oct 13, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Montserrat vs Nicaragua
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montserrat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.31
Avg xA / game 0.2

Nicaragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medina H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montserrat 67 / 100
Nicaragua 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montserrat Nicaragua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Montserrat's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nicaragua has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Nicaragua registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montserrat VS Nicaragua
0.4 Goals Scored 0.75
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.38
40% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montserrat

(Home)
11 Jun
Guyana
3 : 0
Montserrat
04 Jun
Montserrat
1 : 0
Belize
18 Nov
El Salvador
1 : 0
Montserrat
14 Nov
Montserrat
1 : 2
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
13 Oct
Montserrat
0 : 1
Bonaire
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Nicaragua

(Away)
05 Jun
Paraguay
4 : 0
Nicaragua
29 May
South Africa
0 : 0
Nicaragua
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1
Nicaragua
19 Nov
Haiti
2 : 0
Nicaragua
14 Nov
Nicaragua
2 : 0
Honduras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guadeloupe650116:315
2Saint Lucia631210:610
3Sint Maarten62046:156
4Saint Kitts and Nevis61144:124
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nicaragua651017:116
2Dominican Republic631214:610
3Montserrat63039:149
4Barbados60067:260
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1French Guiana631210:610
2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines630313:149
3Bermuda62228:98
4Belize62135:77
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guyana550020:515
2Puerto Rico640222:1012
3Antigua and Barbuda61149:224
4Bahamas50147:211
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)