Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monza U20 vs Genoa U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 Centro Sportivo Luigi Berlusconi, Monza
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Drobnic M.
44' Event
Ndao M.
45'
Ndao M.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 game between Monza U20 and Genoa U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genoa U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Monza U20
20%
Draws
51%
Genoa U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Genoa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Genoa U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Monza U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Genoa U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza U20 Genoa U20
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 12
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.06 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Genoa U20
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Primavera 1
Genoa U20 vs Monza U20
1:1
Nov 3, 2025 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Genoa U20
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Genoa U20
3:4
Jan 4, 2025 Primavera 1
Genoa U20 vs Monza U20
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Genoa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndao M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza U20 31 / 100
Genoa U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza U20 Genoa U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Monza U20 scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Genoa U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 39 matches.

Recent resilience: Monza U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monza U20 VS Genoa U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 3
Inter U20
12 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 2
Lecce U20
06 Sept
Verona U20
1 : 2
Monza U20
31 Aug
Monza U20
0 : 1
Genoa U20
22 Aug
AS Roma U20
3 : 2
Monza U20
Page 1 of 7

Genoa U20

(Away)
20 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 1
Atalanta U20
11 Sept
Parma U20
2 : 1
Genoa U20
05 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 3
Fiorentina U20
31 Aug
Monza U20
0 : 1
Genoa U20
23 Aug
Genoa U20
0 : 1
Inter U20
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U20 5 4 1 0 15:5 13
2 Parma U20 5 3 2 0 11:5 11
3 AS Roma U20 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
4 Empoli U20 5 3 2 0 9:6 11
5 Lazio U20 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
6 Bologna U20 5 3 0 2 12:12 9
7 Genoa U20 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
8 Verona U20 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
9 AC Milan U20 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
10 Cagliari U20 5 2 1 2 8:12 7
11 Cesena U20 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Como U20 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Torino U20 5 1 2 2 12:13 5
14 Lecce U20 5 0 4 1 8:9 4
15 Monza U20 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
16 Sassuolo U20 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Albinoleffe U20 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
18 Fiorentina U20 5 0 3 2 5:7 3
19 Juventus U20 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
20 Atalanta U20 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2027/2028 (Main)