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Monza vs Brescia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia 2024/2025 U-Power Stadium (Brianteo), Monza
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kyriakopoulos G.
11' Event
Pessina M.
Assist: Kyriakopoulos G.
33'
Paghera F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Monza advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Monza
35%
Draws
40%
Brescia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brescia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Monza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Monza have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Monza, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Monza have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Monza Clean Sheet 18%
Brescia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza Brescia
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 15 7
Draws 9 15
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.82 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2024 Coppa Italia
Monza vs Brescia
3:1
May 22, 2022 Serie B
Monza vs Brescia
2:1
May 18, 2022 Serie B
Brescia vs Monza
1:2
Apr 18, 2022 Serie B
Monza vs Brescia
1:1
Dec 5, 2021 Serie B
Brescia vs Monza
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyriakopoulos G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pessina M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Brescia Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuamah P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza 32 / 100
Brescia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza Brescia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monza scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Brescia conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Monza remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monza VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

(Home)
03 Oct
Brest
2 : 2
Monza
26 Sept
Monza
2 : 3
Cremonese
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
Page 1 of 7

Brescia

(Away)
13 May
Brescia
2 : 1
Reggiana
09 May
Modena
2 : 2
Brescia
04 May
Brescia
0 : 0
Juve Stabia
01 May
Cittadella
0 : 1
Brescia
25 Apr
Brescia
1 : 2
Pisa
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Carrarese 2
Catania 1
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Cosenza -
Empoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Brescia -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Verona -
TBD -
Cesena 3
Padova 1
Frosinone -
TBD -
TBD -
Pisa -
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lecce -
TBD -
Mantova 2
Sassari Torres 1
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Cittadella -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa -
TBD -
TBD -
Reggiana -
Como -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
Parma -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese -
TBD -
Juve Stabia 1
Avellino 3
Salernitana -
TBD -
TBD -
Spezia -
1/32-finals
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 3
Carrarese 1
Cremonese 2
Bari 1
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino 2
Cosenza 0
Empoli 4
Catanzaro 1
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza 1
Sudtirol 0
Venezia 1
Brescia 3
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Verona 1
Cesena 2
Frosinone 0
Pisa 3
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lecce 2
Mantova 1
Sassuolo 2
Cittadella 1
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa 1
Reggiana 0
Como 1
Sampdoria 2
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli 1
Modena 0
Parma 0
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese 4
Avellino 0
Salernitana 4
Spezia 3
1/16-finals
Juventus -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Cremonese 0
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Torino 1
Empoli 2
Bologna -
TBD -
Monza 3
Brescia 1
Atalanta -
TBD -
Cesena 1
Pisa 0
AC Milan -
TBD -
Lecce 0
Sassuolo 2
AS Roma -
TBD -
Genoa 1
Sampdoria 2
Lazio -
TBD -
Napoli 5
Palermo 0
Inter -
TBD -
Udinese 3
Salernitana 1
1/8-finals
Juventus 4
Cagliari 0
Fiorentina 2
Empoli 3
Bologna 4
Monza 0
Atalanta 6
Cesena 1
AC Milan 6
Sassuolo 1
AS Roma 4
Sampdoria 1
Lazio 3
Napoli 1
Inter 2
Udinese 0
Quarter-finals
Juventus 1
Empoli 2
Bologna 1
Atalanta 0
AC Milan 3
AS Roma 1
Lazio 0
Inter 2
Semi-finals
Empoli 1
Bologna 5
AC Milan 4
Inter 1
Final
Bologna 1
AC Milan 0