Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monza vs Venezia

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 U-Power Stadium (Brianteo), Monza
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Haps R.
Assist: Yeboah J.
46'
Sub
Haps R. In: Sagrado R.
Out: Haps R.
51' Event
Pessina M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Monza and Venezia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Monza
6%
Draws
90%
Venezia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Venezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Venezia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Venezia a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Monza Clean Sheet 10%
Venezia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza Venezia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 22
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 2 3
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
Monza vs Venezia
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Serie B
Venezia vs Monza
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Serie A
Venezia vs Monza
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie A
Monza vs Venezia
2:2
Mar 20, 2021 Serie B
Monza vs Venezia
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Venezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Haps R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza 10 / 100
Venezia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza Venezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monza scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Venezia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Monza stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monza VS Venezia
2 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

(Home)
24 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 2
Monza
18 Jul
Monza
4 : 3
Pro Vercelli
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2
Monza
19 May
Monza
2 : 1
Juve Stabia
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Venezia

(Away)
27 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 3
Venezia
23 Jul
Venezia
8 : 0
Vis Pesaro
19 Jul
Venezia
4 : 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi
08 May
Venezia
2 : 0
Palermo
01 May
Spezia
2 : 2
Venezia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)