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Moquegua vs Carlos Stein - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2024 Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Flores C.
13'
Ramirez V.
14' Event
Collazos J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2024 game between Moquegua and Carlos Stein finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moquegua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Moquegua
15%
Draws
85%
Carlos Stein
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carlos Stein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Moquegua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Moquegua taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 68%
Carlos Stein Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moquegua Carlos Stein
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.15 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.36 3.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2024 Liga 2
Moquegua vs Carlos Stein
6:1
Aug 22, 2024 Liga 2
Carlos Stein vs Moquegua
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moquegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Collazos J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Flores C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Carlos Stein Compare

Top Goalscorer Merino J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moquegua 68 / 100
Carlos Stein 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moquegua Carlos Stein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moquegua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlos Stein's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Away concern: Carlos Stein has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Moquegua scored in 58% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Moquegua VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moquegua

(Home)
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2
Cienciano
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
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Carlos Stein

(Away)
07 Sept
Binacional
6 : 1
Carlos Stein
02 Sept
Moquegua
6 : 1
Carlos Stein
26 Aug
Carlos Stein
1 : 2
U. San Martin
22 Aug
Carlos Stein
0 : 4
Moquegua
17 Aug
U. San Martin
1 : 0
Carlos Stein
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