Sport Picks
Moquegua vs Sport Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua 
Match Events
12'
12'
Angulo B.
Assist: Zapata Y.
36'
36'
Lecaros A.
39'
39'
Lojas J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Moquegua and Sport Boys finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Boys
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sport Boys carry the better recent record into this one.
- Sport Boys are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 10%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moquegua | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Liga 1
Moquegua vs Sport Boys
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Moquegua
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moquegua Compare
Top Goalscorer Angulo B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Sport Boys Compare
Top Goalscorer Liza P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moquegua 10 / 100
Sport Boys 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moquegua Sport Boys
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sport Boys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sport Boys's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Moquegua scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Sport Boys let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Moquegua VS Sport Boys
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Moquegua
(Home) 08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2 Cienciano
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0 Moquegua
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0 Moquegua
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4 Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2 Cienciano
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4 Alianza Atl.
16 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 1 Sport Boys
02 Aug
Moquegua
0 : 0 FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 3
Sport Boys
(Away) 06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0 Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5 Alianza Atl.
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 Sport Boys
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1 Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0 Sport Boys
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 Sport Boys
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1 Sport Boys
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3 Sport Boys
16 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 1 Sport Boys
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
