Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gonzalez S.
15' Event
Angulo B.
Penalty Missed
21' Event
Chipao R.
Assist: Lastre E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Moquegua and Sporting Cristal finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Cristal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Moquegua
15%
Draws
85%
Sporting Cristal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Moquegua haven't matched Sporting Cristal's recent run of results.
  • Sporting Cristal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moquegua Sporting Cristal
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga 1
Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal
1:2
Apr 3, 2026 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Moquegua
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moquegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Chipao R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Sporting Cristal Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Araujo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moquegua 10 / 100
Sporting Cristal 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moquegua Sporting Cristal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Cristal let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Moquegua found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Sporting Cristal's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Moquegua VS Sporting Cristal
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Moquegua

(Home)
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
27 Aug
AD Tarma
2 : 0
Moquegua
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Sporting Cristal

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1
Sporting Cristal
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Sporting Cristal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
11 Atletico Grau 10 5 1 4 14:13 16
12 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
14 Cienciano 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
15 Moquegua 10 1 4 5 7:17 7
16 Los Chankas 9 2 1 6 10:23 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)