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Morabeza vs Academica Boavista

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2022 game between Morabeza and Academica Boavista finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morabeza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Morabeza
28%
Draws
22%
Academica Boavista
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Morabeza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Morabeza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Morabeza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Morabeza Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Boavista Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morabeza Academica Boavista
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 7 4
Draws 14 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Morabeza vs Academica Boavista
3:0
May 14, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Boavista vs Morabeza
0:0
May 31, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Morabeza vs Academica Boavista
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morabeza 49 / 100
Academica Boavista 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morabeza Academica Boavista

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morabeza scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Academica Boavista has conceded goals in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Morabeza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Morabeza VS Academica Boavista
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rosariense651012:316
2Sporting Praia630310:109
3GD Varandinha62134:57
4Ultramarina61053:113
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeira641110:513
2Academica Boavista62222:58
3Morabeza61325:46
4Academica Porto Novo61235:85
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica do Mindelo632112:811
2Botafogo62318:69
3Mindelense62133:67
4Barreirense61235:85