Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Araujo P.
53'
53'
Gomes Almeida R.
70'
70'
dos Santos A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palmeira
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Palmeira lately — more wins on the board than Morabeza.
- Palmeira are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Morabeza Clean Sheet 20%
Palmeira Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Morabeza | Palmeira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 41 |
| Wins | 8 | 23 |
| Draws | 14 | 13 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.91 | 1.51 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 26, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Morabeza vs Palmeira
2:2
May 18, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Palmeira vs Morabeza
2:0
Jun 11, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Palmeira vs Morabeza
1:0
May 22, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Morabeza vs Palmeira
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Morabeza Compare
Top Goalscorer Araujo P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rodrigues R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Palmeira Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomes Almeida R.
1 Goals Assists Leader dos Santos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Morabeza 20 / 100
Palmeira 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Morabeza Palmeira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Palmeira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Morabeza's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Morabeza stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Palmeira conceded in 51% of 41 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Palmeira
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Morabeza
(Home) 15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2 Morabeza
09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1 Barreirense
26 May
Morabeza
2 : 2 Palmeira
18 May
Palmeira
2 : 0 Morabeza
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1 Morabeza
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09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1 Barreirense
26 May
Morabeza
2 : 2 Palmeira
05 May
Morabeza
1 : 1 GD Varandinha
04 Jun
Morabeza
0 : 0 GD Varandinha
12 May
Morabeza
1 : 0 Figueirense
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Palmeira
(Away) 04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2 Mindelense
27 Jun
Palmeira
3 : 1 SC Africa Show
20 Jun
SC Africa Show
1 : 0 Palmeira
14 Jun
Palmeira
2 : 1 Boavista da Praia
06 Jun
Santo Crucifixo
0 : 3 Palmeira
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20 Jun
SC Africa Show
1 : 0 Palmeira
06 Jun
Santo Crucifixo
0 : 3 Palmeira
23 May
SC Africa Show
2 : 2 Palmeira
25 Apr
Scorpion Vermelho
0 : 2 Palmeira
21 Jun
Boavista da Praia
0 : 1 Palmeira
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academico do Sal | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 2 | Academica do Fogo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Rosariense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Juventude | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeira | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Morabeza | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Barreirense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 4 | GD Varandinha | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boavista da Praia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 16 |
| 2 | FC Derby | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 3 | Ultramarina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 4 | Sanjoanenses | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
