Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo

2 - 0

Pueblonuevo

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Merchan A. F.

26'

Eteme G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Moralo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moralo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Moralo

20%

Draws

38%

Pueblonuevo

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moralo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Moralo have won more games recently than Pueblonuevo.
42% — that's where the model lands on Moralo taking it.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Moralo Clean Sheet 20%

Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Moralo	Pueblonuevo
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	16	9
Draws	9	6
Losses	6	15
Goals Scored	1.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo vs Pueblonuevo

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Pueblonuevo vs Moralo

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo vs Pueblonuevo

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

4:0

Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Pueblonuevo vs Moralo

Possession: 60% - 57% Cards: 4 - 4

4:2

Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo vs Pueblonuevo

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moralo Compare

Top Goalscorer Merchan A. F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Eteme G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Pueblonuevo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moralo 42 / 100

Pueblonuevo 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Moralo Pueblonuevo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Moralo's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Pueblonuevo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Moralo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moralo VS Pueblonuevo

1.25 Goals Scored 1.25

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Don Benito	34	21	8	5	70:22	71
2	CD Badajoz	34	23	5	6	64:27	71
3	Moralo	34	17	11	6	54:32	62
4	CD Azuaga	34	18	8	8	53:31	62
5	Jaraiz	34	16	11	7	53:33	59
6	Cabeza del Buey	34	15	12	7	45:29	57
7	SP Villafranca	34	16	7	11	45:40	55
8	Villanovense	34	15	8	11	45:36	53
9	Montijo	34	13	7	14	43:42	46
10	Jerez CF	34	8	17	9	56:51	41
11	AD Llerenense	34	11	8	15	35:44	41
12	Puebla de la Calzada	34	9	11	14	35:48	38
13	Santa Amalia	34	9	7	18	30:52	34
14	Gevora	34	8	9	17	32:53	33
15	Pueblonuevo	34	9	6	19	29:55	33
16	CD Diocesano	34	6	12	16	33:63	30
17	Montehermoso	34	5	8	21	24:66	23
18	CD Calamonte	34	3	13	18	25:47	22