Sport Picks
Moralo vs Villanovense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 
Match Events
7'
7'
Quintero J.
54'
54'
Messaouri I.
57'
57'
Cinta C.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between Moralo and Villanovense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moralo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moralo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Moralo come out ahead of Villanovense on wins alone.
- Model gives Moralo a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Moralo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Moralo Clean Sheet 20%
Villanovense Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moralo | Villanovense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Villanovense
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Villanovense
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs Moralo
0:1
Sep 20, 2020 Club Friendly
Moralo vs Villanovense
1:0
Feb 23, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs Moralo
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moralo Compare
Top Goalscorer Messaouri I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cinta C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Villanovense Compare
Top Goalscorer Quintero J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moralo 36 / 100
Villanovense 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moralo Villanovense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moralo scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Moralo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Villanovense let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Moralo VS Villanovense
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Moralo
(Home) 04 Oct
Moralo
1 : 1 Gevora
27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Moralo
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0 CD Zafra
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3 Moralo
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1 Villanovense
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Moralo
1 : 1 Gevora
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0 CD Zafra
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1 Villanovense
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2 CD Badajoz
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0 CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 4
Villanovense
(Away) 04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1 Villanovense
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0 Montijo
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1 Villanovense
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1 AD Llerenense
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1 Villanovense
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1 Villanovense
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1 Villanovense
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1 Villanovense
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3 Villanovense
12 Apr
AD Llerenense
0 : 2 Villanovense
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 3 | AD Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 10 |
| 4 | Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Puebla de la Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Gevora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 10 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Cabeza del Buey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 13 | Jaraiz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 15 | SP Villafranca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 17 | UP Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:11 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)
