Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo

3 - 0

Villanovense

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Hachouchi W.

26'

Taoualy O.

35'

Hachouchi W.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Moralo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moralo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Moralo

33%

Draws

40%

Villanovense

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Villanovense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Villanovense haven't matched Moralo's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Villanovense's way, sitting at 40%.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Moralo Clean Sheet 18%

Villanovense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Moralo	Villanovense
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	12
Draws	9	7
Losses	5	11
Goals Scored	1.25	1.75
Goals Conceded	0.88	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo vs Villanovense

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Villanovense vs Moralo

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Sep 20, 2020 Club Friendly

Moralo vs Villanovense

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Feb 23, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Villanovense vs Moralo

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

4:0

Oct 6, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo vs Villanovense

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moralo Compare

Top Goalscorer Hachouchi W.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Taoualy O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Villanovense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moralo 28 / 100

Villanovense 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Moralo Villanovense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moralo's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Villanovense conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Moralo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Moralo VS Villanovense

1.25 Goals Scored 1.75

0.88 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Don Benito	34	21	8	5	70:22	71
2	CD Badajoz	34	23	5	6	64:27	71
3	Moralo	34	17	11	6	54:32	62
4	CD Azuaga	34	18	8	8	53:31	62
5	Jaraiz	34	16	11	7	53:33	59
6	Cabeza del Buey	34	15	12	7	45:29	57
7	SP Villafranca	34	16	7	11	45:40	55
8	Villanovense	34	15	8	11	45:36	53
9	Montijo	34	13	7	14	43:42	46
10	Jerez CF	34	8	17	9	56:51	41
11	AD Llerenense	34	11	8	15	35:44	41
12	Puebla de la Calzada	34	9	11	14	35:48	38
13	Santa Amalia	34	9	7	18	30:52	34
14	Gevora	34	8	9	17	32:53	33
15	Pueblonuevo	34	9	6	19	29:55	33
16	CD Diocesano	34	6	12	16	33:63	30
17	Montehermoso	34	5	8	21	24:66	23
18	CD Calamonte	34	3	13	18	25:47	22