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Moratalaz vs Carabanchel

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moratalaz in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moratalaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Moratalaz
15%
Draws
59%
Carabanchel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carabanchel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Moratalaz average 1.17 goals a game right now, well clear of Carabanchel's 0.77.
  • Win probability leans Carabanchel's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Moratalaz Clean Sheet 26%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moratalaz Carabanchel
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs Carabanchel
2:1
Sep 26, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Moratalaz
0:1
Jan 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Moratalaz
2:1
Sep 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs Carabanchel
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalaz 21 / 100
Carabanchel 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moratalaz Carabanchel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carabanchel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Moratalaz scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Carabanchel let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Solid form: Moratalaz remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Carabanchel
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moratalaz

(Home)
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 6
AD Torrejon
16 Apr
Moratalaz
3 : 4
Villaviciosa de Odon
10 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
03 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 3
Moratalaz
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Carabanchel

(Away)
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2
Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1
Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1
Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1
Carabanchel
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 40 29 8 3 82:26 95
2 CD Las Rozas 40 22 9 9 68:35 75
3 CDE Madrid 40 20 12 8 61:42 72
4 Alcorcon B 40 19 12 9 63:39 69
5 Paracuellos Antamira 40 19 9 12 56:44 66
6 Ursaria 40 16 16 8 47:27 64
7 RSD Alcala 40 18 10 12 45:40 64
8 Getafe B 40 17 10 13 56:46 61
9 Rayo Vallecano B 40 15 12 13 59:43 57
10 AD Torrejon 40 16 9 15 55:48 57
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 40 15 12 13 39:45 57
12 Galapagar 40 16 8 16 50:57 56
13 Trival Valderas 40 13 14 13 40:42 53
14 Parla 40 14 10 16 46:46 52
15 Tres Cantos 40 13 8 19 41:52 47
16 Villaverde San Andres 40 13 6 21 35:45 45
17 Moratalaz 40 12 7 21 46:73 43
18 Villaviciosa de Odon 40 10 8 22 47:73 38
19 AD Alcala 40 9 10 21 31:58 37
20 Carabanchel 40 7 12 21 43:70 33
21 Colonia Moscardo 40 5 2 33 20:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 (Play Offs)