Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 game between Moratalaz and Santa Ana finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moratalaz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moratalaz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Moratalaz carry the better recent record into this one.
- Moratalaz are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Moratalaz have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Moratalaz Clean Sheet 17%
Santa Ana Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moratalaz | Santa Ana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 0.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs Santa Ana
3:0
Dec 6, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Santa Ana vs Moratalaz
1:4
May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Santa Ana vs Moratalaz
0:0
Jan 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs Santa Ana
2:1
Aug 10, 2019 Club Friendly
Moratalaz vs Santa Ana
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moratalaz 41 / 100
Santa Ana 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moratalaz Santa Ana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Santa Ana conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Moratalaz scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.
Santa Ana's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Moratalaz VS Santa Ana
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Moratalaz
(Home) 01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0 Moratalaz
24 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 6 AD Torrejon
16 Apr
Moratalaz
3 : 4 Villaviciosa de Odon
10 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 2 Villaverde San Andres
03 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 3 Moratalaz
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24 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 6 AD Torrejon
16 Apr
Moratalaz
3 : 4 Villaviciosa de Odon
10 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 2 Villaverde San Andres
27 Mar
Moratalaz
0 : 0 Ursaria
16 Mar
Moratalaz
0 : 1 CDE Madrid
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Santa Ana
(Away) 20 Jun
Santa Ana
4 : 2 Villaverde San Andres
13 Jun
El Alamo
3 : 1 Santa Ana
06 Jun
Santa Ana
0 : 4 Real Aranjuez
27 May
Mostoles CF
2 : 0 Santa Ana
16 May
Atletico Pinto
2 : 1 Santa Ana
Page 1 of 6
13 Jun
El Alamo
3 : 1 Santa Ana
27 May
Mostoles CF
2 : 0 Santa Ana
16 May
Atletico Pinto
2 : 1 Santa Ana
09 May
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 1 Santa Ana
25 Apr
Real Aranjuez
2 : 1 Santa Ana
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Adarve | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 41:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Moratalaz | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 36:20 | 40 |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano B | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35:27 | 38 |
| 4 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33:20 | 38 |
| 5 | Flat Earth FC | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 19:18 | 33 |
| 6 | AD Torrejon | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 32:17 | 32 |
| 7 | AD Alcala | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22:22 | 30 |
| 8 | RSD Alcala | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 9 | Paracuellos Antamira | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 18:27 | 26 |
| 10 | Villanueva del Pardillo CF | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14:28 | 19 |
| 11 | San Fernando de Henares | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 18:36 | 18 |
| 12 | Santa Ana | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11:51 | 10 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leganes B | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 34:12 | 50 |
| 2 | CD Mostoles | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28:11 | 44 |
| 3 | Alcorcon B | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 32:15 | 34 |
| 4 | Parla | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Carabanchel | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 18:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Pinto | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20:30 | 24 |
| 7 | Trival Valderas | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 15:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Villaverde San Andres | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18:29 | 21 |
| 9 | El Alamo | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24:33 | 16 |
| 10 | Mostoles CF | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15:26 | 15 |
| 11 | Real Aranjuez | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19:32 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
