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Moratalaz vs Villaverde San Andres

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 game between Moratalaz and Villaverde San Andres finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villaverde San Andres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Moratalaz
15%
Draws
49%
Villaverde San Andres
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villaverde San Andres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villaverde San Andres come out ahead of Moratalaz on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Moratalaz Clean Sheet 68%
Villaverde San Andres Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moratalaz Villaverde San Andres
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 12
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.17 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs Villaverde San Andres
1:2
Dec 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs Moratalaz
1:2
Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs Villaverde San Andres
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs Moratalaz
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalaz 41 / 100
Villaverde San Andres 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moratalaz Villaverde San Andres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moratalaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Moratalaz scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Villaverde San Andres lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Villaverde San Andres's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villaverde San Andres
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moratalaz

(Home)
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 6
AD Torrejon
16 Apr
Moratalaz
3 : 4
Villaviciosa de Odon
10 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
03 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 3
Moratalaz
Page 1 of 6

Villaverde San Andres

(Away)
10 May
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 4
San Sebastian Reyes B
03 May
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 4
Villaverde San Andres
26 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 5
CD Las Rozas
19 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 0
Villaverde San Andres
12 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
1 : 1
Galapagar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 40 29 8 3 82:26 95
2 CD Las Rozas 40 22 9 9 68:35 75
3 CDE Madrid 40 20 12 8 61:42 72
4 Alcorcon B 40 19 12 9 63:39 69
5 Paracuellos Antamira 40 19 9 12 56:44 66
6 Ursaria 40 16 16 8 47:27 64
7 RSD Alcala 40 18 10 12 45:40 64
8 Getafe B 40 17 10 13 56:46 61
9 Rayo Vallecano B 40 15 12 13 59:43 57
10 AD Torrejon 40 16 9 15 55:48 57
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 40 15 12 13 39:45 57
12 Galapagar 40 16 8 16 50:57 56
13 Trival Valderas 40 13 14 13 40:42 53
14 Parla 40 14 10 16 46:46 52
15 Tres Cantos 40 13 8 19 41:52 47
16 Villaverde San Andres 40 13 6 21 35:45 45
17 Moratalaz 40 12 7 21 46:73 43
18 Villaviciosa de Odon 40 10 8 22 47:73 38
19 AD Alcala 40 9 10 21 31:58 37
20 Carabanchel 40 7 12 21 43:70 33
21 Colonia Moscardo 40 5 2 33 20:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 (Play Offs)