Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011

Moratalla

2 - 1

Calasparra FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 game between Moratalla and Calasparra FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moratalla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Moratalla

40%

Draws

29%

Calasparra FC

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Calasparra FC have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Moratalla are scoring more at 1.13.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Moratalla here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Moratalla Clean Sheet 15%

Calasparra FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Moratalla	Calasparra FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	8
Draws	5	5
Losses	17	17
Goals Scored	1.13	0.63
Goals Conceded	2.5	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Moratalla vs Calasparra FC

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Sep 22, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Calasparra FC vs Moratalla

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

May 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Calasparra FC vs Moratalla

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Jan 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Moratalla vs Calasparra FC

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Feb 3, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Moratalla vs Calasparra FC

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalla 31 / 100

Calasparra FC 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Moratalla Calasparra FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calasparra FC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Moratalla's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Calasparra FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moratalla VS Calasparra FC

1.13 Goals Scored 0.63

2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UCAM Murcia	38	27	5	6	81:22	86
2	Real Murcia B	38	25	9	4	69:18	84
3	Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC	38	25	8	5	85:28	83
4	Cartagena La Union	38	25	6	7	72:36	81
5	Ciudad Cieza	38	25	5	8	74:28	80
6	Bala Azul	38	18	12	8	59:45	66
7	Lorca FC	38	17	9	12	58:51	60
8	CA Pulpileno	38	16	9	13	53:42	57
9	Molina	38	15	8	15	60:45	53
10	Pinatar	38	13	13	12	50:51	52
11	Club Edeco Fortuna	38	15	7	16	39:57	52
12	Plus Ultra	38	14	6	18	44:57	48
13	Santomera	38	12	9	17	43:57	45
14	Cartagena FC UCAM	38	11	10	17	43:61	43
15	Moratalla	38	11	8	19	44:69	41
16	Calasparra FC	38	11	8	19	45:64	41
17	Base Abaran	38	9	9	20	28:47	36
18	FC Puente Tocinos	38	9	6	23	42:85	33
19	Beniel	38	4	3	31	32:93	15
20	Lorca Deportiva	38	2	2	34	7:72	8