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Moratalla vs FC Puente Tocinos

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 game between Moratalla and FC Puente Tocinos finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Puente Tocinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Moratalla
20%
Draws
50%
FC Puente Tocinos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Puente Tocinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moratalla come out ahead of FC Puente Tocinos on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Puente Tocinos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 11%
FC Puente Tocinos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moratalla FC Puente Tocinos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.2 1
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Puente Tocinos vs Moratalla
3:4
Jan 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs FC Puente Tocinos
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalla 10 / 100
FC Puente Tocinos 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moratalla FC Puente Tocinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Puente Tocinos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Puente Tocinos has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Moratalla scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Moratalla has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moratalla VS FC Puente Tocinos
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Moratalla

(Home)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3
UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1
Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3
Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0
Moratalla
Page 1 of 6

FC Puente Tocinos

(Away)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Lorca FC
5 : 2
FC Puente Tocinos
01 May
FC Puente Tocinos
2 : 1
Club Edeco Fortuna
21 Apr
Calasparra FC
2 : 2
FC Puente Tocinos
17 Apr
FC Puente Tocinos
2 : 2
Cartagena La Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 38 27 5 6 81:22 86
2 Real Murcia B 38 25 9 4 69:18 84
3 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 38 25 8 5 85:28 83
4 Cartagena La Union 38 25 6 7 72:36 81
5 Ciudad Cieza 38 25 5 8 74:28 80
6 Bala Azul 38 18 12 8 59:45 66
7 Lorca FC 38 17 9 12 58:51 60
8 CA Pulpileno 38 16 9 13 53:42 57
9 Molina 38 15 8 15 60:45 53
10 Pinatar 38 13 13 12 50:51 52
11 Club Edeco Fortuna 38 15 7 16 39:57 52
12 Plus Ultra 38 14 6 18 44:57 48
13 Santomera 38 12 9 17 43:57 45
14 Cartagena FC UCAM 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Moratalla 38 11 8 19 44:69 41
16 Calasparra FC 38 11 8 19 45:64 41
17 Base Abaran 38 9 9 20 28:47 36
18 FC Puente Tocinos 38 9 6 23 42:85 33
19 Beniel 38 4 3 31 32:93 15
20 Lorca Deportiva 38 2 2 34 7:72 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)