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Moratalla vs FC Puente Tocinos

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 game between Moratalla and FC Puente Tocinos finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Puente Tocinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Moratalla
6%
Draws
90%
FC Puente Tocinos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Puente Tocinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Moratalla has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Puente Tocinos.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FC Puente Tocinos.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 11%
FC Puente Tocinos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moratalla FC Puente Tocinos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Puente Tocinos vs Moratalla
3:4
Jan 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs FC Puente Tocinos
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalla 10 / 100
FC Puente Tocinos 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moratalla FC Puente Tocinos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moratalla scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

FC Puente Tocinos let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Moratalla went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Puente Tocinos lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moratalla VS FC Puente Tocinos
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UCAM Murcia38275681:2286
2Real Murcia B38259469:1884
3Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC38258585:2883
4Cartagena La Union38256772:3681
5Ciudad Cieza38255874:2880
6Bala Azul381812859:4566
7Lorca FC381791258:5160
8CA Pulpileno381691353:4257
9Molina381581560:4553
10Pinatar3813131250:5152
11Club Edeco Fortuna381571639:5752
12Plus Ultra381461844:5748
13Santomera381291743:5745
14Cartagena FC UCAM3811101743:6143
15Moratalla381181944:6941
16Calasparra FC381181945:6441
17Base Abaran38992028:4736
18FC Puente Tocinos38962342:8533
19Beniel38433132:9315
20Lorca Deportiva3822347:728