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Moratalla vs UCAM Murcia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UCAM Murcia in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored UCAM Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Moratalla
15%
Draws
64%
UCAM Murcia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UCAM Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UCAM Murcia lately — more wins on the board than Moratalla.
  • Win probability leans UCAM Murcia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 19%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moratalla UCAM Murcia
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 8 23
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.2 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs UCAM Murcia
0:3
Dec 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia vs Moratalla
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalla 10 / 100
UCAM Murcia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moratalla UCAM Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moratalla's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

UCAM Murcia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 40 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Moratalla went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS UCAM Murcia
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moratalla

(Home)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3
UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1
Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3
Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0
Moratalla
Page 1 of 6

UCAM Murcia

(Away)
03 Oct
Ilicitano
1 : 5
UCAM Murcia
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2
CF Intercity
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0
Valencia B
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 38 27 5 6 81:22 86
2 Real Murcia B 38 25 9 4 69:18 84
3 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 38 25 8 5 85:28 83
4 Cartagena La Union 38 25 6 7 72:36 81
5 Ciudad Cieza 38 25 5 8 74:28 80
6 Bala Azul 38 18 12 8 59:45 66
7 Lorca FC 38 17 9 12 58:51 60
8 CA Pulpileno 38 16 9 13 53:42 57
9 Molina 38 15 8 15 60:45 53
10 Pinatar 38 13 13 12 50:51 52
11 Club Edeco Fortuna 38 15 7 16 39:57 52
12 Plus Ultra 38 14 6 18 44:57 48
13 Santomera 38 12 9 17 43:57 45
14 Cartagena FC UCAM 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Moratalla 38 11 8 19 44:69 41
16 Calasparra FC 38 11 8 19 45:64 41
17 Base Abaran 38 9 9 20 28:47 36
18 FC Puente Tocinos 38 9 6 23 42:85 33
19 Beniel 38 4 3 31 32:93 15
20 Lorca Deportiva 38 2 2 34 7:72 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)