Sport Picks
Moravia Morawica vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
7'
7'
Pierzchala P.
33'
33'
Plonka D.
45'
45'
Verbytskyi A.
AI Match Summary
Moravia Morawica in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moravia Morawica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
30%
64%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naprzod Jedrzejow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Naprzod Jedrzejow have won more games recently than Moravia Morawica.
- Naprzod Jedrzejow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Moravia Morawica Clean Sheet 10%
Naprzod Jedrzejow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moravia Morawica | Naprzod Jedrzejow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 16 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.44 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Moravia Morawica vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
4:2
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Moravia Morawica vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Moravia Morawica
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moravia Morawica Compare
Top Goalscorer Pierzchala P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Verbytskyi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Naprzod Jedrzejow Compare
Top Goalscorer Plonka D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Martinez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moravia Morawica 10 / 100
Naprzod Jedrzejow 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moravia Morawica Naprzod Jedrzejow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Naprzod Jedrzejow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Moravia Morawica found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (16 games).
Naprzod Jedrzejow let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Moravia Morawica stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Moravia Morawica VS Naprzod Jedrzejow
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Moravia Morawica
(Home) 27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2 Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
30 Aug
Moravia Morawica
0 : 4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 4
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2 Jaroslaw
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
30 Aug
Moravia Morawica
0 : 4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
19 Aug
Moravia Morawica
4 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
15 Aug
Moravia Morawica
0 : 3 Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 2
Naprzod Jedrzejow
(Away) 26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5 Naprzod Jedrzejow
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
30 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 0 Wisla II
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5 Naprzod Jedrzejow
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
19 Aug
Moravia Morawica
4 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
08 Aug
Wislanie Skawina
2 : 0 Naprzod Jedrzejow
23 Jul
Arka Pawlow
1 : 4 Naprzod Jedrzejow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | 26 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Czarni Polaniec | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisloka Debica | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 19 |
| 5 | Wislanie Skawina | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:10 | 17 |
| 6 | Jaroslaw | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 26:17 | 17 |
| 7 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:18 | 13 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 | Biala Podlaska | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Busko-Zdroj | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:21 | 11 |
| 14 | Star Starachowice | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Korona Kielce II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 21:26 | 8 |
| 16 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:20 | 7 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:19 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
