Sport Picks
Moreirense U19 vs Chaves U19
Portugal
Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 
Match Events
37'
37'
Velosa A.
47'
47'
Ferreira B.
55'
55'
Nogueira J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chaves U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Chaves U19 haven't matched Moreirense U19's recent run of results.
- Model gives Moreirense U19 a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Moreirense U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Chaves U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moreirense U19 | Chaves U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Moreirense U19
0:0
Feb 28, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Chaves U19
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Chaves U19
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Moreirense U19
0:0
May 12, 2018 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Chaves U19
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moreirense U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferreira B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Silva G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Chaves U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Velosa A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nogueira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moreirense U19 42 / 100
Chaves U19 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moreirense U19 Chaves U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moreirense U19's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Chaves U19 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Moreirense U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Moreirense U19 VS Chaves U19
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Moreirense U19
(Home) 19 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 1 Gil Vicente U19
12 Sept
Braga U19
0 : 1 Moreirense U19
06 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 0 Rio Ave U19
29 Aug
Moreirense U19
2 : 3 Famalicao U19
22 Aug
FC Porto U19
3 : 1 Moreirense U19
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19 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 1 Gil Vicente U19
06 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 0 Rio Ave U19
29 Aug
Moreirense U19
2 : 3 Famalicao U19
15 Aug
Moreirense U19
1 : 2 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
11 Apr
Moreirense U19
1 : 1 Pacos Ferreira U19
Page 1 of 4
Chaves U19
(Away) 25 Apr
Chaves U19
0 : 0 Moreirense U19
11 Apr
Braga U19
4 : 2 Chaves U19
03 Apr
Chaves U19
2 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
14 Mar
Chaves U19
3 : 2 Pacos Ferreira U19
07 Mar
Vizela U19
2 : 2 Chaves U19
Page 1 of 6
11 Apr
Braga U19
4 : 2 Chaves U19
07 Mar
Vizela U19
2 : 2 Chaves U19
28 Feb
Moreirense U19
2 : 0 Chaves U19
07 Feb
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 1 Chaves U19
31 Jan
Pacos Ferreira U19
0 : 1 Chaves U19
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 62:19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 31:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Ave U19 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 32:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Famalicao U19 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 35:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 22:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32:26 | 27 |
| 7 | Vizela U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30:39 | 19 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22:37 | 19 |
| 9 | Moreirense U19 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 16 |
| 10 | Chaves U19 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10:38 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Leiria U19 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Sporting CP U19 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:15 | 29 |
| 4 | Santa Clara U19 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu U19 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 24 |
| 6 | Torreense U19 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Alverca U19 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 23:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Belenenses U19 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 13:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Tondela U19 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Mafra U19 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22:38 | 15 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
