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Moreirense U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Abreu J.
88' Event
Viana T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Moreirense U19
30%
Draws
29%
Pacos Ferreira U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moreirense U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Moreirense U19 have won more games recently than Pacos Ferreira U19.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Moreirense U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Moreirense U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Pacos Ferreira U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moreirense U19 Pacos Ferreira U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.2 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Moreirense U19
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Moreirense U19
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19
0:1
May 19, 2018 Campeonato Nacional U19
Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Moreirense U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moreirense U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pacos Ferreira U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Viana T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moreirense U19 40 / 100
Pacos Ferreira U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moreirense U19 Pacos Ferreira U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moreirense U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moreirense U19 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Pacos Ferreira U19 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Moreirense U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moreirense U19 VS Pacos Ferreira U19
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Moreirense U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Gil Vicente U19
12 Sept
Braga U19
0 : 1
Moreirense U19
06 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 0
Rio Ave U19
29 Aug
Moreirense U19
2 : 3
Famalicao U19
22 Aug
FC Porto U19
3 : 1
Moreirense U19
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Pacos Ferreira U19

(Away)
25 Apr
Pacos Ferreira U19
3 : 2
Vizela U19
11 Apr
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Pacos Ferreira U19
04 Apr
Pacos Ferreira U19
0 : 4
Braga U19
14 Mar
Chaves U19
3 : 2
Pacos Ferreira U19
07 Mar
Pacos Ferreira U19
2 : 2
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
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