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Moreirense U19 vs Rio Ave U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Taveira E.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 game between Moreirense U19 and Rio Ave U19 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moreirense U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Moreirense U19
20%
Draws
40%
Rio Ave U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio Ave U19 come out ahead of Moreirense U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Moreirense U19 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Moreirense U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Rio Ave U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moreirense U19 Rio Ave U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Rio Ave U19
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Rio Ave U19 vs Moreirense U19
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Rio Ave U19
2:3
Apr 28, 2018 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Rio Ave U19
0:2
Feb 18, 2018 Campeonato Nacional U19
Rio Ave U19 vs Moreirense U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moreirense U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Taveira E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Rio Ave U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moreirense U19 36 / 100
Rio Ave U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moreirense U19 Rio Ave U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moreirense U19 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Rio Ave U19 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Moreirense U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moreirense U19 VS Rio Ave U19
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moreirense U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Gil Vicente U19
12 Sept
Braga U19
0 : 1
Moreirense U19
06 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 0
Rio Ave U19
29 Aug
Moreirense U19
2 : 3
Famalicao U19
22 Aug
FC Porto U19
3 : 1
Moreirense U19
Page 1 of 6

Rio Ave U19

(Away)
19 Sept
FC Porto U19
0 : 0
Rio Ave U19
12 Sept
Rio Ave U19
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
06 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 0
Rio Ave U19
23 Aug
Rio Ave U19
1 : 0
Vizela U19
15 Aug
Feirense U19
2 : 1
Rio Ave U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 6 4 1 1 13:4 13
2 Gil Vicente U19 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
3 Braga U19 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
5 Feirense U19 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
6 Rio Ave U19 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
7 Famalicao U19 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
8 Academico Viseu U19 6 2 1 3 9:6 7
9 Moreirense U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
10 Vizela U19 6 1 0 5 6:17 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 6 5 1 0 11:3 16
2 Benfica U19 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
3 Oriental U19 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
4 Mafra U19 6 2 2 2 6:12 8
5 Santa Clara U19 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
6 Torreense U19 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
7 Casa Pia U19 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
8 SC Farense U19 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
9 Alverca U19 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
10 Leiria U19 6 0 3 3 5:13 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)