Sport Picks
Moreirense vs Boavista - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2024/2025 Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos 
Match Events
30'
30'
Agra S.
31'
31'
Alanzinho
(Penalty)
36'
36'
Martins B.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2024/2025 game between Moreirense and Boavista finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moreirense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moreirense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Moreirense come out ahead of Boavista on wins alone.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Moreirense taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Moreirense Clean Sheet 68%
Boavista Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moreirense | Boavista |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 16, 2025 Liga Portugal
Moreirense vs Boavista
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Moreirense
0:2
Mar 9, 2024 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Moreirense
1:0
Oct 6, 2023 Liga Portugal
Moreirense vs Boavista
1:1
May 1, 2022 Liga Portugal
Moreirense vs Boavista
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moreirense 86 / 100
Boavista 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moreirense Boavista
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Moreirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Boavista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Moreirense scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Moreirense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Moreirense VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Moreirense
(Home) 20 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1 Moreirense
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1 Maritimo
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
04 Sept
FC Porto
2 : 1 Moreirense
30 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 1 Moreirense
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1 Maritimo
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
09 Aug
Moreirense
2 : 2 Braga
01 Aug
Moreirense
2 : 0 Amarante FC
18 Jul
Moreirense
2 : 2 AFS
Page 1 of 3
Boavista
(Away) 17 May
Arouca
4 : 1 Boavista
11 May
Boavista
1 : 2 FC Porto
05 May
AFS
1 : 2 Boavista
27 Apr
Boavista
0 : 5 Sporting CP
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1 Boavista
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Arouca
4 : 1 Boavista
05 May
AFS
1 : 2 Boavista
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1 Boavista
07 Apr
Rio Ave
0 : 2 Boavista
16 Mar
Moreirense
1 : 0 Boavista
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88:27 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84:28 | 80 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:30 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55:30 | 66 |
| 5 | Santa Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36:32 | 57 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47:37 | 54 |
| 7 | Famalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 8 | Estoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48:53 | 46 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:44 | 45 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:50 | 40 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:55 | 38 |
| 12 | Arouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:49 | 38 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:47 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32:50 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24:50 | 29 |
| 16 | AFS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25:60 | 27 |
| 17 | SC Farense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:46 | 27 |
| 18 | Boavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24:59 | 24 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)
