Sport Picks
Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs
Australia
NPL Queensland Wolter Park, Brisbane 
Match Events
34'
34'
Satharasinghe D.
80'
80'
Walters M.
90'
90'
Walters M.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Queensland game between Moreton City Excelsior and Eastern Suburbs finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moreton City Excelsior.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moreton City Excelsior
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Moreton City Excelsior come out ahead of Eastern Suburbs on wins alone.
- 73% — that's where the model lands on Moreton City Excelsior taking it.
- Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Moreton City Excelsior Clean Sheet 16%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moreton City Excelsior | Eastern Suburbs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.56 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 5, 2026 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior
0:0
Mar 28, 2026 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs
4:1
Jul 20, 2025 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs
2:0
Jun 11, 2025 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moreton City Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Walters M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Satharasinghe D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Eastern Suburbs Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moreton City Excelsior 84 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moreton City Excelsior Eastern Suburbs
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Moreton City Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moreton City Excelsior found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).
Eastern Suburbs has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Away concern: Eastern Suburbs has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Moreton City Excelsior VS Eastern Suburbs
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Moreton City Excelsior
(Home) 05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
29 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2 Queensland Lions
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2 Queensland Lions
18 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 2 Peninsula
11 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
4 : 3 Magic United TFA FC
20 Jun
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 2 Wynnum Wolves
Page 1 of 4
Eastern Suburbs
(Away) 14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
08 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4 Magic United TFA FC
12 Jul
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
12 Jul
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
23 Jun
Gold Coast Knights SC
4 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
16 Jun
Wynnum Wolves
1 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
