Sport Picks
Moreton City Excelsior vs Wynnum Wolves
Australia
NPL Queensland Wolter Park, Brisbane 
Match Events
3'
3'
Maltby Z.
66'
66'
Nash F.
82'
82'
Sadik A.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Queensland game between Moreton City Excelsior and Wynnum Wolves finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wynnum Wolves
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Wynnum Wolves haven't matched Moreton City Excelsior's recent run of results.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Moreton City Excelsior Clean Sheet 11%
Wynnum Wolves Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moreton City Excelsior | Wynnum Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.29 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Wynnum Wolves
2:2
Mar 6, 2026 NPL Queensland
Wynnum Wolves vs Moreton City Excelsior
3:0
Aug 9, 2025 NPL Queensland
Wynnum Wolves vs Moreton City Excelsior
0:1
May 17, 2025 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Wynnum Wolves
1:1
Jul 20, 2024 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Wynnum Wolves
6:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moreton City Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Sadik A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Walters M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Wynnum Wolves Compare
Top Goalscorer Maltby Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nash F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moreton City Excelsior 35 / 100
Wynnum Wolves 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moreton City Excelsior Wynnum Wolves
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wynnum Wolves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moreton City Excelsior's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Wynnum Wolves has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Moreton City Excelsior has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Moreton City Excelsior VS Wynnum Wolves
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Moreton City Excelsior
(Home) 05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
29 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2 Queensland Lions
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2 Queensland Lions
18 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 2 Peninsula
11 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
4 : 3 Magic United TFA FC
20 Jun
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 2 Wynnum Wolves
Page 1 of 4
Wynnum Wolves
(Away) 14 Aug
Wynnum Wolves
0 : 3 Magic United TFA FC
08 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
31 Jul
Wynnum Wolves
5 : 2 Brisbane City
18 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 2 Wynnum Wolves
10 Jul
Peninsula
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
18 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 2 Wynnum Wolves
10 Jul
Peninsula
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
28 Jun
Queensland Lions
6 : 2 Wynnum Wolves
20 Jun
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 2 Wynnum Wolves
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
