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Mori vs Montecchio Maggiore

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Pavan M.
28' Event
Visinoni N.
73' Event
Sperti L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 game between Mori and Montecchio Maggiore finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montecchio Maggiore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mori
15%
Draws
85%
Montecchio Maggiore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montecchio Maggiore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Montecchio Maggiore carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Montecchio Maggiore taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Mori Clean Sheet 24%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mori Montecchio Maggiore
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 2 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.63 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Mori vs Montecchio Maggiore
0:6
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Mori
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mori Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Montecchio Maggiore Compare

Top Goalscorer Sperti L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pavan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mori 10 / 100
Montecchio Maggiore 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mori Montecchio Maggiore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montecchio Maggiore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montecchio Maggiore has conceded goals in 86% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Montecchio Maggiore registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mori found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Montecchio Maggiore
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mori

(Home)
05 May
Portogruaro
9 : 0
Mori
28 Apr
Mori
0 : 2
Virtus Bolzano
21 Apr
Mestre
2 : 0
Mori
14 Apr
Mori
1 : 3
Cjarlins Muzane
07 Apr
Este
3 : 0
Mori
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Montecchio Maggiore

(Away)
04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3
Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1
Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3
Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)